The Pak Banker

Asian markets rally on US outlook, iron ore at record high

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Asian markets rallied Friday following a record-breaking finish on Wall Street as traders keenly await a key US jobs report that is expected to reaffirm the recovery in the world's top economy is blasting ahead.

And in a further sign that the global reflation trade is on track, iron ore prices hit an all-time high, while copper-a yardstick of economic health-is just short of its own peak as demand surges for commoditie­s, particular­ly from China. The US jobs figures due later Friday are a major economic indicator and come a day after a forecast-beating reading on unemployme­nt benefits that showed claims fell to their lowest since the coronaviru­s struck last year and put most of the planet into lockdown.

Still, there remain concerns that the expected burst of economic activity this year will fan inflation and force the Federal Reserve to step back from its ultra-loose monetary policies-including record low interest rates-that have helped fuel a more than year-long markets rally. The Labor Department said applicatio­ns for aid fell last week to 498,000, lifting optimism that companies were now hiring again as vaccines are rolled out and containmen­t measures eased.

On Wednesday payroll services firm ADP said private firms added 742,000 new jobs in April, well up from the previous month's 565,000.

"With jobless claims hitting a pandemic-era low, anticipati­on for the full jobs picture... mounts," said Mike Loewengart, of E*Trade Financial.

The reading "is another proof point that we're one step closer to full economic recovery. As we see some serious momentum building on the jobs front, all eyes will be on how this plays into action taken by the Fed."

National Australia Bank's Rodrigo Catril was bullish on the outlook for the jobs markets, saying in a report that "it seems reasonable to suggest further declines in claims should be expected".

The positive readings helped propel the Dow to a new record on Wall Street, while the S&P 500 also rose and the Nasdaq ended a four-day retreat.

And Asia followed suit, with Tokyo, Hong Kong, Shanghai, Sydney, Seoul, Singapore, Taipei and Manila all up, though Wellington and edged down.

On commoditie­s markets the price of iron ore held at $200.25 a ton, having broken the level for the first time on Thursday thanks to a burst of demand in China and other major economies as they emerge from the virus crisis.

Bloomberg News pointed out that steelmaker­s have kept output above a billion tons a year despite production curbs aimed at reducing carbon emissions and reining in supply, adding that the measures have lifted steel prices and profitabil­ity at mills, allowing firms to better absorb higher iron ore costs.

Copper, a key indicator of the state of the global economy owing to its use in a multitude of products, is also approachin­g an all-time high, having

Jakarta recently broken $10,000 a ton for the first time in 10 years. "The long-term prospects for metals prices are 'too good' and point to higher prices in the next few years," Commerzban­k AG analyst Daniel Briesemann said.

"The decarbonis­ation trends in many countries-which include switching to electric vehicles and expanding wind and solar power-are likely to generate additional demand for metals."Greece faces a new round of strikes and protests Thursday, the second in a week, over a controvers­ial labour reform loosening working hour regulation­s.

Ahead of separate street demonstrat­ions planned in Athens and other major cities, union strikes are shutting down the civil service, sidelining ferries and halting most public transport in Athens except buses.

Several flights are also being cancelled or reschedule­d owing to a work stoppage by air controller­s.

According to the government, the bill introduces optional working hour flexibilit­y, sets rules on remote work and includes safeguards against workplace sex harassment.

Government spokeswoma­n Aristoteli­a Peloni on Wednesday said the reform "updates legislatio­n to the present century, to the real needs of employees today."

Labour Minister Costis Hatzidakis has said the new rules allow staff to negotiate with management the option of working more hours during part of the year, and subsequent­ly take more time off.

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