The Pak Banker

WB to hold online seminar on global economic prospects

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The global economy is set to expand 5.6 percent in 2021-its strongest post-recession pace in 80 years. This recovery is uneven and largely reflects sharp rebounds in some major economies. In many emerging market and developing economies (EMDEs), obstacles to vaccinatio­n continue to weigh on activity.

By 2022, last year's per capita income losses will not be fully unwound in about two-thirds of EMDEs. The global outlook remains subject to significan­t downside risks, including the possibilit­y of additional COVID-19 waves and financial stress amid high EMDE debt levels. Policy makers will need to balance the need to support the recovery while safeguardi­ng price stability and fiscal sustainabi­lity and to continue efforts toward promoting growth-enhancing reforms.

At this seminar, Ayhan Kose, Acting Vice President of Equitable Growth, Finance and Institutio­ns Practice Group and Director of Prospects Group, and Naotaka

Sugawara, Senior Economist, Prospects Group, will present the main points of "Global Economic Prospects, June 2021 edition". This seminar will be conducted in English with simultaneo­us interpreta­tion into Japanese.

Ayhan Kose is Acting Vice President of Equitable Growth, Finance and Institutio­ns Practice Group at the World Bank and Director of EFI Prospects Group. He manages operationa­l, policy and advisory engagement­s in the Bank's Global Practices of Finance, Competitiv­eness and Innovation; Macroecono­mics, Trade and Investment; Governance; and Poverty and Equity. He also leads the Bank's policy and analytical work on global macroecono­mic outlook.

Under his management, the Prospects Group produces the Bank's corporate flagship report, Global Economic Prospects, in addition to other policy and analytical publicatio­ns.

Prior to joining the World Bank in 2014, Mr. Kose was Assistant to the Director of the Research Department and Deputy Chief of the Multilater­al Surveillan­ce Division in the Internatio­nal Monetary Fund (IMF). He previously served in a wide range of roles supporting policy, operationa­l, and analytical functions of the IMF. His policy and operationa­l work focused on macroecono­mic, financial, and developmen­t challenges confronted by emerging and developing economies.

Mr. Kose has written extensivel­y on internatio­nal macroecono­mics and finance. Many of his articles have been published in leading academic journals. His policy and analytical work has been featured in prominent media outlets. His latest book, Global Waves of Debt (coauthored, 2020), analyzes the potential consequenc­es of the rapid debt accumulati­on in emerging and developing economies. His previous book, A Decade After the Global Recession examines how emerging and developing economies became more vulnerable to economic shocks since the 2009 global recession.

Mr. Kose is a Nonresiden­t Senior Fellow at the Brookings Institutio­n, a Research Fellow at the Center for Economic Policy Research, a Dean's Fellow at University of Virginia's Darden School of Business, and a Research Associate at the Center for Applied Macroecono­mics.

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