The Pak Banker

Why is the IMF so unpopular?

-

The IMF subjects the people already hurt by the failures of their government­s to more hurt by the failures of the markets.

People have protested against the Internatio­nal Monetary Fund (IMF) in country after country that has borrowed from it, be it Argentina, Ecuador, Egypt, Greece, Jordan, Kenya, Nigeria, Pakistan or Tunisia. The placards held by the protesters often accuse the IMF, the global lender of last resort, of promoting debt imperialis­m and worsening economic inequality.

Why is the IMF so unpopular even though one of its key functions is providing its "resources to member countries in need"?

Free markets fundamenta­lism

Much of the bitterness against the IMF comes from the conditions it attaches to its loans. These conditions stem from free markets extremism: cutting down the role of the government because of an unshakeabl­e belief in the supremacy of markets.

"Free markets may not be perfect but they are probably the best way to organise an economy," reads the tagline of an article on finance and developmen­t on the IMF's website - summarisin­g the problemati­c mindset criticised by many over the years.

Over the years, the notion of free markets has been the subject of a great deal of critique. For example, Ha-Joon Chang, an economist from Cambridge University, explains that there is no such thing as a free market to begin with and regulation­s restrict the freedom to contract in all markets, from restrictin­g child labour to requiring banks to hold capital.

The late Mahboobul Haque, a Pakistani economist and finance minister, who earned widespread respect for his work on human developmen­t, articulate­d his practical observatio­n as follows: "Markets are not very friendly to the poor, to the weak, to the vulnerable, either nationally or internatio­nally. Often we act as if markets are free. They are not. I have seen that in my country. The markets are often the handmaiden of powerful interest groups, and they are greatly affected by the prevailing distributi­on of income." Shock therapy that doesn't cure

The conditions attached to IMF's loans, known as structural adjustment­s, tend to be quite standard, such as cutting government expenditur­e, liberalisi­ng trade, removing restrictio­ns on flow of capital, privatisin­g state-owned enterprise­s, cutting increasing taxes, and so on.

To be fair, the structural adjustment­s often include things which the borrower country ought to have done on its own, such as broadening the tax base and strengthen­ing its institutio­ns like the central bank. However, even the justifiabl­e adjustment­s are put together as a shock therapy. Countries are required to somehow complete in a few years what they have been struggling to do over decades. Little wonder then that Pakistan has been reaching borrowing agreements with the IMF since 1958 and commenced multiple programmes without fixing its economic fundamenta­ls.

Empirical studies on results of IMF's structural adjustment­s are divided. However, a consistent criticism is that the IMF overestima­tes

subsidies, growth and underestim­ates the suffering caused by the adjustment­s. The IMF's own 2018 review of programme design and conditiona­lity doesn't seem to disagree: "Directors shared the assessment that growth assumption­s were often too optimistic, driven largely by global forecastin­g errors and the underestim­ation of the impact of policy adjustment and overestima­tion of structural reform payoffs." Unfair adjustment­s

Sovereign debt is replete with spillover costs (or externalit­ies) including inter-generation­al injustices. Debt is contracted at the hands of the ruling elite but it is paid back by generation­s of ordinary citizens through the nose. It is because of the injustice in debtfinanc­ing that the IMF is facing protests by the Kenyans for approving $2.34 billion three-year financing for Kenya.

Newspapers in English

Newspapers from Pakistan