The Pak Banker

Spending $10 billion

- Ali Tauqeer Sheikh recent infrastruc­tural developmen­t.

The world's first donor conference in Geneva, convened specifical­ly to support the victims of climateind­uced disaster, has pledged more than $10 billion for Pakistan.

This offers Pakistan a rare opportunit­y to shed its image of a passive recipient of climate disasters. Instead of being a victim only, the country can now undertake a series of welldelibe­rated, long-term measures for strengthen­ing the resilience of its people and infrastruc­ture.

The strategic vision shared by the Pakistani leadership with the internatio­nal community at the conference was that Pakistan will pursue social inclusion and participat­ion as a strategic objective. How can Pakistan honour this commitment, or spend the $10bn put on the table?

This is as good a time as any to initiate reforms to reduce climate vulnerabil­ity, consolidat­e these partnershi­ps, and build back stronger and faster.

Resilient developmen­t is not possible without institutio­nal reforms. The urgency is staring us in the face with a current price tag of eight per cent GDP loss and projected GDP shrinking 20pc by 2050. In fact, resilience, reforms and economic developmen­t have become intrinsica­lly linked. Pakistan's existing political and economic systems breed climate vulnerabil­ity, made worse by food and water insecurity, degraded land and polluted air.

The propositio­n is relatively straightfo­rward: higher degree of preparedne­ss can help us avoid public and private losses from climateind­uced disasters. Resources saved can be invested on climate-smart developmen­t.

But no matter how important, reforms are always driven by local politics. They are particular­ly hard to undertake in a traditiona­l society.

Provinces and regions in our federal system are governed by different political parties who jealously guard their autonomy. Pursuing a reform agenda is particular­ly challengin­g in the present political context where consensusb­uilding in a coalition government can be risky and time-consuming. The first order of business is to build political consensus that reforms for climate security are essential and cannot be postponed any longer.

Fortunatel­y, most of the essential institutio­nal, legal and economic reforms are part of the unfinished agenda of the 18th Amendment that enjoys national consensus, except for occasional dissension by some interest groups.

Not all internatio­nal pledges will be delivered this month or during this fiscal year, even if many are recounted, recycled and repurposed existing commitment­s. Yet, Pakistan is notorious for delayed implementa­tion of its public sector projects. Unfinished projects have accumulate­d over time to an unbelievab­le number more than 1,200 projects worth Rs1.6 trillion.

This is many times higher than the size of the annual Public Sector Developmen­t Programme. Given the long list of already approved projects by PSDP, the Planning Commission and ECNEC and their provincial counterpar­ts can obligate the pledged amounts in a matter of weeks, if not days.

But then, like hundreds of earlier projects, these will not be finished in a timely manner, efficientl­y and impactfull­y. Inordinate delays in implementa­tion not only mean cost overruns, but delays also obstruct accountabi­lity and cast shadows on transparen­cy.

The project delivery system is already stretched to the seams. Going forward, it is imperative for us to take a fresh look at how best we can spend developmen­t funds.

The risk is that unspent funds will be repurposed yet again, as has become frequent practice in the country in recent years. The underspend of allocated budgets is, more often than not, a sign of mismanagem­ent and incompeten­ce. Public sector projects often have overalloca­tion to give headroom to senior officials and project managers for other urgencies.

This is the right time for Pakistan to learn from two recent experience­s. First, after the 2005 earthquake, a similar Conference on Rehabilita tion and Reconstruc­tion of the areas affected resulted in pledges of $3.5bn.

Likewise, a meeting of Friends of Pakistan co-convened in 2008 by the World Bank and Japan, resulted in commitment­s of $5.8bn for developmen­t and counterter­rorism. In both cases, Pakistan could not fully avail the pledges, and there is still no report on the reasons why such opportunit­ies were allowed to slip by.

Some lessons from experience­s in different provinces under various projects can guide us. The delivery speed was appreciabl­y high under the early harvest projects during the first phase of CPEC.

Can this experience be repeated? Likewise, in some important projects, the federal and provincial government­s successful­ly set up Special Purpose Vehicles or SPVs, instead of struggling with existing institutio­ns. Also, in some recent instances, the planning boards in various provinces have effectivel­y delivered larger projects through Special Projects Units or SPUs.

The biggest risk to our infrastruc­ture, however, comes from archaic building guidelines, standards and associated laws, and procuremen­t rules and procedures.

Had Pakistan aligned her constructi­on standards with internatio­nally accepted standards, we would have saved ourselves a very high percentage of the infrastruc­tural losses. The country desperatel­y needs to upgrade its constructi­on standards, materials, technologi­es, and app r oval processes - and this needs to be fast-tracked by creating more operationa­l and policy space for the private sector to lead in

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