Oil settles up more than 1pc on China demand outlook, second weekly gain
Oil settled up about $1 a barrel and notched a second straight weekly gain as China's economic prospects brightened, boosting expectations for fuel demand in the world's secondbiggest economy.
China's lifting of Covid-19 restrictions should bring global demand to a record high this year, the International Energy Agency (IEA) said, a day after OPEC also forecast a Chinese demand rebound.
Brent crude settled at US$87.63 a barrel, up $1.47, or 1.7%. US. crude settled at US$81.31 a barrel, gaining 98 cents, or 1.2%.
"Many traders believe it is highly likely that we are going to see higher demand coming from China as it continues to dismantle its Covid policies,". For the week, Brent logged a 2.8% increase and the US benchmark saw a 1.8% rise.
Oil was also supported by hopes that the U.S. Federal Reserve will soon downshift to smaller interest rate hikes, which could brighten the US. economic outlook.
A Reuters poll predicted the Fed will end its tightening cycle after increases of 25 basis points at each of its next two policy meetings and should then hold rates steady for at least the rest of the year.
Chances of a "soft landing" for the U.S. economy appear to be growing, Federal Reserve Vice Chair Lael Brainard said on Thursday. The Fed's next rate-setting meeting is over Jan. 31 to Feb. 1. Also helping oil prices, Baker Hughes Co said the U.S. oil rig count fell 10 to 613, its lowest since November.
The world's two largest economies need more crude, said Edward Moya, senior market analyst at OANDA.
"The oil market has been down on global recession fears, but it is still showing signs it can remain tight a little while longer," he said.
Oil rose despite U.S. inventory figures this week showing crude stockpiles rose by 8.4 million barrels in the week to Jan. 13 to about 448 million barrels, the highest since June 2021.
A tapering off of sales from the U.S. Strategic Petroleum Reserve helped reverse negative sentiment from the report and push oil prices, said Andy Lipow, president of Lipow Oil Associates in Houston.
A price cap on Russian oil, which has been rippling through the global market, is helping to boost crude prices, said Jim Ritterbusch of consultancy Ritterbusch and Associates.
"Sanctions and caps on Russian crude are gradually acquiring some price impact and will become more of a bullish factor when last month's influx of Russian crude cargoes is absorbed into the global market," Ritterbusch said.
Russia was China's secondlargest crude supplier in 2022, while Saudi Arabia took the top spot. (Additional reporting by Noah Browning, Alex Lawler, Sudarshan Varadhan and Arathy Somasekhar; editing by Diane Craft, Kirsten
Donovan and David Gregorio)
The West Texas Intermediate (WTI) for February delivery gained 98 cents, or 1.22 percent, to settle at 81.31 U.S. dollars a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange. Brent crude for March delivery added 1.47 dollars, or 1.71 percent, to settle at 87.63 dollars a barrel on the London ICE Futures Exchange.
"Oil markets continue to move higher as traders bet on rising China demand," Vladimir Zernov, market analyst with market information supplier FX Empire, said on Friday.
"Next week, China's demand for oil will rise as the country would celebrate the Chinese New Year, which is bullish for oil markets," he said.
Traders continued to digest data on U.S. fuel stockpiles.
The U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) reported Thursday that the country's commercial crude oil inventories jumped by 8.4 million barrels during the week ending Jan. 13. On average, analysts polled by S&P Global Commodity Insights had expected U.S. supplies to show a rise of 0.9 million barrels.
According to the EIA, total motor gasoline inventories increased by 3.5 million barrels last week, while distillate fuel inventories decreased by 1.9 million barrels.