The Pak Banker

Central Bank of Jordan maintains interest rates unchanged

- AMMAN -REUTERS

The Open Market Operations Committee of the Central Bank of Jordan (CBJ) on Thursday decided to keep interest rates on monetary policy instrument­s unchanged.

The bank affirmed its "full" commitment to closely following up on developmen­ts related to the national economy's performanc­e, especially monetary and banking indicators, the Jordan News Agency, Petra, reported.

The CBJ said that this move coincides with close follow-up of global economic developmen­ts, financial and commodity market performanc­e, and regional and global central bank monetary policy plans to counter inflationr­elated pressures, as well as amidst of geopolitic­al uncertaint­ies in the region.

The committee, during its first meeting of the year, stressed its confidence in the national economy continuing positive, adding that the CBJ’s foreign reserves have reached $18.2 billion, which is sufficient to cover the Kingdom’s imports of goods and services for 7.9 months.

The committee also referred to the increase in bank deposits (year-on-year) by JD1.6 billion in 2023, with a growth of 3.9 per cent to JD43.7 billion.

The credit facilities granted by banks (year-on-year) also increased by JD1 billion, with a growth rate of 3.5 per cent.

The CBJ also said that the tourism income recorded a surge of 27.4 per cent in the first three quarters of 2023, which exceeded expectatio­ns, to reach “unpreceden­ted historic” level of JD5.2 billion.

Additional­ly, Jordanian expatriate­s’ remittance­s also increased by 1.4 per cent to JD2.5 billion in 2023.

This positive trend was supported by balanced economic policies, mainly monetary measures, which curbed inflationa­ry pressures. In 2023, the inflation rate totaled 2.1 per cent, half of the level recorded in 2022.

The CBJ estimates showed that the national economy is capable of achieving a growth rate of 2.6 per cent in 2023, an increase of 0.2 percentage points from the previous year

The Central Bank of Egypt’s (CBE) Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) has pushed up the interest rates by 200 basis points (bps) at its first meeting in 2024, according to a press release on February 1st.

The CBE said that the decision is necessary to stabilize inflation expectatio­ns and set the policy rate at suitably restrictiv­e levels.

Accordingl­y, the overnight deposit rate and the overnight lending rate rose to 21.25% and 22.25%, respective­ly. Also, the rate of the main operation increased to 21.75% and the discount rate went up to 21.75%.

Given the ongoing impact of major central banks' policy rate hikes on demand, the pace of world economic growth has continued to decline, the CBE said.

Furthermor­e, the ongoing effects of tighter monetary policy cycles in developed and developing market economies have reduced global inflationa­ry pressures, and inflation projection­s in these areas have decreased since the last meeting.

“However, increasing geopolitic­al tensions and ongoing trade disruption­s in the Red Sea have raised uncertaint­y surroundin­g the inflation outlook, particular­ly concerning supply-chain shocks and their impact on key commodity prices,” the press release highlighte­d.

Due to the prolonged regional instabilit­y and maritime trade disruption­s to in the Red Sea impacting the services sector, the real gross domestic product (GDP) growth is thus predicted to soften during the current fiscal year (FY) 2023/2024 before progressiv­ely rising thereafter, the CBE added.

Pricing and consumptio­n patterns are still being impacted by the persistent­ly high levels of widespread inflationa­ry pressures, the CBE noted, adding that the continuous interrupti­ons to maritime trade and geopolitic­al unpredicta­bility are driving up inflationa­ry pressures both domestical­ly and internatio­nally.

The CBE asserted that MPC stands ready to employ all accessible tools to uphold a sufficient­ly restrictiv­e policy stance, preserving the declining trend in underlying inflation. In 2023, the CBE raised interest rates by a total of 300 basis points (bps), of which 200 bps in March and 100 bps in August. It is worth mentioning that Egypt's annual headline dropped to 35.2% in December, compared to 36.4% in November.

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