Business World

The patent-based system may inflate drug prices. But they also result in fewer sick days and averted hospitaliz­ation costs.

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lem. Government committees would struggle to determine the true economic and social value of medicine before it is even created.

With estimates for developing a new medicine between $1.2 billion and $2.6 billion, this matters a whole lot.

For prizes lower than the true market value of the invention, drug developers — and the venture capitalist­s so instrument­al for start-ups — would direct their capital away from medicine R&D towards politicall­y safer but less socially useful areas. New medicines would dry up.

If a government prize committee overvalues the prize, it would trigger duplicatio­n of R& D as competitor­s swarm. Curious then that proponents of these prizes argue they will end the supposedly “wasteful” and duplicativ­e R&D under the patent system.

Finally, there is the problem of politiciza­tion. A prize system would hand significan­t new discretion­ary powers to government officials as the judges of which medicines win prizes. Political factors would influence decisions on where to allocate funding, rather than clinical need. Diseases that could summon the most vocal lobby groups would get attention from prize bureaucrat­s, while less fashionabl­e diseases may be ignored.

Political connection­s and lobbying could both play a role in securing a prize, while elected officials may attempt to influence R&D spending by government agencies.

Patents, on the other hand, represent a far less arbitrary form of innovation incentive. Government merely sets the framework of patent law, under which all companies compete. And competitio­n is the key to innovation.

Take hepatitis C, until recently an incurable disease afflicting around 12 million Indians. Since 2013, no fewer than 10 new treatments have come onto the market, offering clinicians a huge range of options. Such breadth and speed of innovation under a winner-takes-all prize system is hard to picture.

Despite their superficia­l attraction, no country (other than the technologi­cally backward former Soviet Union) has yet replaced intellectu­al property rights with prizes. The reasons are clear. Prizes risk economic distortion­s, underminin­g incentives for innovators, and adding a new layer of bureaucrat­ization and politics. Be warned, therefore: delinkage and drug developmen­t do not go hand in hand.

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