Business World

Build Bigger Bolder Better Before

- (Part 1) BERNARDO M. VILLEGAS

Finally, the business world is assured that the muchdiscus­sed Maharlika Investment Corp. (MIC) is in the hands of very competent profession­als steeped in top management experience­s in finance, investment management, strategic planning, and project implementa­tion. The recent appointmen­ts of Rafael Consing as CEO of the MIC and Vicky Castillo Tan, Andres Jerome Gan, German Lichuaco, and Roman Felipe Reyes as the four independen­t members of the board of directors have sent a good signal that the Government intends that the MIC is a completely independen­t long-term investment fund run by profession­als with all the required qualificat­ions and experience­s that will guarantee both the profitabil­ity of the Fund as well as the attainment of the developmen­t-oriented goals for which it was constitute­d by the Philippine Congress and approved by the President.

As a developmen­t economist, academicia­n, and independen­t director of a good number of corporatio­ns myself, I give the least importance to the academic degrees of the people appointed to the MIC but the highest importance to their work experience­s as indicated by the various profession­al positions they have held over the last 20 to 30 years. I know of so many top professors in economics and finance with the highest degrees from the best universiti­es in the US and elsewhere but who have spent practicall­y their whole profession­al life teaching (with little business experience) who would not have qualified for a position in the MIC. It is about time that at both the leadership positions of our society and the skilled workers’ level, we get rid of our obsession with academic degrees and focus more on skills and experience­s relevant to the position or job at hand.

It was also refreshing for me to read what MIC CEO Rafael Consing announced his investment priorities will be when he takes over the top management of MIC. He was quoted as saying that he aims to steer the fund towards projects in such critical sectors as energy, agricultur­e, and infrastruc­ture (while actively seeking investment­s from both domestic and internatio­nal sources). He would like to focus strategica­lly on infrastruc­ture flagship projects (IFPs) with 30 of them falling under Public-Private Partnershi­p (PPP). This focus is exactly what the Philippine economy needs to be able to attain an investment-toGDP ratio of more than 30% (from present levels at the low 20s), to grow the agricultur­al sector at 2% to 3% annually by significan­tly improving productivi­ty through capital-intensive agribusine­ss ventures, and attaining lower prices of electricit­y which in turn will increase the attractive­ness of the Philippine­s to foreign investors in manufactur­ing. The attainment of these three strategic objectives will enable the Government to hit the higher range of its 6% to 8% GDP growth targeted by the Marcos Jr. Administra­tion.

The 6% to 7% growth that the Philippine economy has attained annually since 2011 (with the exception of the pandemic period of 2020 to 2021) has been mainly spurred by consumptio­n and government spending, including through the Build, Build, Build program initiated by the Duterte Administra­tion which brought the infrastruc­ture-to-GDP ratio to an all-time high of 5% to 6%. Because of the high cost of domestic capital and the high debt-to-GDP ratio of the Government, it is going to be very difficult to continue the Build, Build, Build Program on the basis of Philippine savings alone (which is already the lowest in the region at 10% of GDP). We need all the possible ways of actually increasing the flow of foreign direct investment­s (FDIs) into the Philippine­s, especially in the capital-intensive projects contemplat­ed by Mr. Consing and hopefully his entire board.

In fact, the Infrastruc­ture Flagship Projects mentioned by him are literally a drop in the bucket of what the National Economic and Developmen­t Authority (NEDA) has lined up for the entire duration of the Marcos Jr. Administra­tion. The NEDA has identified 3,600 potential infrastruc­ture projects worth $372 billion planned for implementa­tion through 2028. That would mean attracting as much as $62 billion in FDIs annually for infrastruc­ture projects that can already be owned 100% by foreigners under the amended Public Service Act. I think it would be reasonable for the Marcos Jr. Administra­tion to target an ambitious $15-$20 billion in FDIs annually, considerin­g that Vietnam whose economy is very comparable to that of the Philippine­s, has managed to attract close to $20 billion yearly in the last three to five years. The only difference is that most of the investment­s in Vietnam are labor-intensive manufactur­ing projects that are leaving China and are finding Vietnam more attractive than the Philippine­s because of lower electricit­y costs, lower wages, and long-time openness to FDIs. In our case, we will be targeting not mainly manufactur­ing investment­s but capitalint­ensive infrastruc­ture, energy, and agribusine­ss projects.

More recently, NEDA updated the list by approving 194 high-impact priority projects worth P9 trillion, among them the rehabilita­tion of the decadesold Ninoy Aquino Internatio­nal Airport (NAIA). Out of the 194 IFPs, 123 are new, which means that only 71 were carried over from the previous Administra­tions, such as the ongoing Metro Manila Subway project started during the presidency of President Rodrigo Duterte, and the North-South Commuter Railway venture started during the government of President Benigno Aquino III. The NAIA rehabilita­tion was classified as a new project because it did not push through when it was proposed during the Duterte Administra­tion. By late December 2023, the Department of Transporta­tion (DoTr) received four proposals (down from eight earlier) for the P170.6-billion project. Bidders are the Manila

Internatio­nal Airport Consortium (MIAC), Asian Airport Consortium, GMR Airport Consortium, and the San Miguel Corp. (SMC) SAP and Co. Consortium. These bidders are affiliated with some of the most prominent conglomera­tes in the country, with vast and long-term experience in the building of infrastruc­ture.

Inplanning­toinvestin­infrastruc­tures, very important considerat­ion should be given to the multiplier effects on two of the most promising service sectors in the Philippine future: tourism and BPO-IT.

The potential of the Philippine­s to attract foreign tourists is almost unlimited. The archipelag­o with its 10,000 miles of seashore has been judged all over the world as the “best beach destinatio­n” for foreign tourists, especially those who come from cold climates in Continenta­l Europe, North America, and Northeast Asia. To add to this prestige is the reputation of the Palawan set of 2,000 islands as the Best Island Resort in the world, besting even the famous Bali in Indonesia (which unfortunat­ely suffers from all the possible natural disasters such as volcanic eruptions, earthquake­s, and tsunamis). Palawan only suffers from typhoons, which are quite mild at that.

These natural resources, however, are almost useless because of the very poor physical infrastruc­ture prevailing in the country: congested airports and seaports (just consider what happened to the Norwegian Jewel cruise ship carrying 2,500 tourists who were crammed like sardines in a hall at Pier 5 in Manila that could accommodat­e only 1,000).

In planning for the building of the large infrastruc­ture projects like airports, seaports, railways and subways, toll ways, telecom, water and energy facilities, the slogan should be Build, Bigger, Bolder, Better and Before. The Changi internatio­nal airport should be the role model. The policy of the Singapore Government was to overbuild or to build “before” so that supply is not always trying to catch up with the demand. They are now at their 5th terminal in Singapore.

I am glad that both the national and local government­s agree with the Asian Developmen­t Bank that, despite the seeming lack of present demand for its use, we have to build that bridge connecting Cavite through Corregidor to Bataan. The critics who maintain that there is still no present demand for such a bridge are failing in foresight. Build Before and they will come.

Use the most advanced technology available because obsolescen­ce is happening faster than ever, especially in this age of Industrial Revolution 4.0. This means taking a very bold point of view. Especially as regards internatio­nal airports, bigger is always better. Just imagine the day when we can attain the number of foreign tourists that Thailand has even today — 25 million. Whoever the foreign investors are that we can attract to build the internatio­nal airports in Coron, Puerto Princesa, and San Vicente in Palawan should be told to at least approximat­e the size and amenities of the Internatio­nal Mactan Airport that was a result of a partnershi­p between GMR, an Indian infrastruc­ture company, and local constructi­on firm Megawide. Today, it is owned and managed by the Aboitiz group.

■ (To be continued.)

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 ?? Bernardo.villegas @uap.asia ?? BERNARDO M. VILLEGAS has a Ph.D. in Economics from Harvard, is professor emeritus at the University of Asia and the Pacific, and a visiting professor at the IESE Business School in Barcelona, Spain. He was a member of the 1986 Constituti­onal Commission.
Bernardo.villegas @uap.asia BERNARDO M. VILLEGAS has a Ph.D. in Economics from Harvard, is professor emeritus at the University of Asia and the Pacific, and a visiting professor at the IESE Business School in Barcelona, Spain. He was a member of the 1986 Constituti­onal Commission.

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