Business World

Blockbuste­r oil mergers, clean fuels vie for attention at Houston energy meeting

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HOUSTON — Top oil executives and ministers descend on Houston this week for one of the world’s biggest energy conference­s emboldened by blockbuste­r mergers, stable oil prices, and less pressure for a largescale move to clean fuels.

Global oil prices have remained in a range between $75 and $85 per barrel, a level fueling profits but not hurting economic growth, despite war in Eastern Europe and turmoil in the Middle East. Stock markets continue to spur deals, making Big Oil even bigger.

The annual CERAWeek conference comes as demand for oil and gas continues to rise alongside solar, wind, and biofuels. Energy markets have accommodat­ed a reordering of global flows as customers turn more to regional energy suppliers or live with longer seaborne supply chains.

Unlike past conference­s where conversati­ons were dominated by market-share battles between US shale oil producers and the Organizati­on of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC), talk of price wars have been supplanted by energy security issues, Daniel Yergin, the vicechairm­an of S&P Global, said.

“When demand was down and prices were down, it was very easy to see a way towards energy transition, but with Russia/Ukraine (war) and price shocks, energy security is back on the table,” Mr. Yergin added.

More than 7,200 people are expected to hear the latest outlook on energy markets from the heads of top producers’ BP, Chevron, Exxon Mobil, Saudi Aramco, Sinopec, and Petronas.

Global liquefied natural gas (LNG) developmen­ts and US climate policies will be a major topic in separate sessions by big exporters Cheniere Energy and Venture Global LNG, while US Energy Secretary Jennifer Granholm and White House adviser John Podesta press the administra­tion’s climate goals.

While oil prices are strong, natural gas has been overwhelme­d by a production glut. But “this year will be a transition year to a much more bullish gas and power market next year,” said Vikas Dwivedi, an energy strategist at financial firm Macquarie Group.

Notably absent this year, which occurs during the Islamic holy month of Ramadan, are top oil ministers from Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, and Iraq. No officials from Russia are expected after they did not attend last year.

OPEC’s absence comes with global prices hovering around $85 a barrel, a level that Mr. Dwivedi said helps cover its members’ budgets, but does not accelerate transition to electric vehicles and renewable fuels.

OPEC forecasts relatively strong oil demand and economic growth, a view that encourages more oil and gas activity and mergers. Last year’s more than $250 billion in US energy deals stirred fears of concentrat­ion and a slowing of regulatory approvals.

Climate concerns are reflected in the conference sessions on carbon sequestrat­ion technology and hydrogen fuels, which have become two of the oil industry’s favorite means of addressing global warming. The role of artificial intelligen­ce in energy production and carbon emissions are prominent sessions this year.

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