Business World

Nations that ‘talk down’ on China to miss out on opportunit­ies, says envoy

- Norman P. Aquino and John Victor D. Ordoñez

NATIONS that misjudge China risk missing out on opportunit­ies as it sets an ambitious economic expansion target of about 5% this year, according to its top envoy in Manila.

“Talking down on China will only backfire, and misjudging China will only squander opportunit­ies,” Chinese Ambassador to the Philippine­s Huang Xilian told a forum on Philippine-China relations in Quezon City on Thursday, based on a copy of a speech sent by the Chinese Embassy via Viber.

His remarks come just days after US Secretary of State Antony Blinken visited Manila to reaffirm America’s “ironclad” commitment­s to defend the Philippine­s against an armed attack in the South China Sea.

Philippine President Ferdinand R. Marcos, Jr. on Tuesday said the threat from China’s expansive claims in the South China Sea is growing, and that his country must do more to defend its territory.

Chinese Premier Li Qiang first announced the growth target early this month to boost confidence in China’s economy as it deals with deflationa­ry pressures, a struggling property sector, an exodus of foreign capital, a stock market rout and a record-low birth rate.

The Chinese Embassy on Wednesday said the US should stop stirring up trouble by taking sides in the sea dispute between China and the Philippine­s. It also opposed the “groundless accusation­s made by Secretary Blinken about China’s legitimate and lawful actions in the South China Sea and his thinly veiled threat to invoke the so-called Mutual Defense Treaty obligation­s.”

In his speech, Mr. Huang said China’s expected growth target this year “far exceeds” the Internatio­nal Monetary Fund’s growth forecast for the US and the European Union (EU). Its economy will have become twice the size of that of the Philippine­s by yearend.

He said the Chinese economy has been showing positive signals since the start of the year, including a 7.7% increase in domestic tourist spending during the Chinese New Year to 632.6 billion yuan (P4.9 trillion) from 2019.

In the first two months this year, China’s total trade in goods rose by 8.7% from a year earlier to 6.61 trillion yuan.

“As China’s economy grows with a sound momentum, stability and confidence will be injected into the developmen­t of the world economy,” Mr. Huang said.

He added that despite different national conditions and systems, China and the Philippine­s pursue similar developmen­t goals, complement each other’s strengths and have “enormous potential for mutually beneficial cooperatio­n.”

The Chinese envoy said China has been the Philippine­s’ biggest trading partner for eight straight years, and one of its biggest sources of foreign investment­s.

“The Chinese and the Philippine economy are both part of the global value, industrial and supply chains,” he said. “We have formed a deeply intertwine­d pattern of interests.”

“The government needs to continue protecting its political sovereignt­y in the West Philippine Sea,” Leonardo A. Lanzona, who teaches economics at the Ateneo de Manila University, said in a Facebook Messenger Chat, referring to areas of the South China Sea within the Philippine­s’ exclusive economic zone.

He said the Marcos government should break its trade dependency on

China for political pressure to be more effective. “We need to revive our manufactur­ing sector and attract more foreign investment­s. All this posturing against China and publicized negotiatio­ns with other countries will be useless unless we strengthen our domestic economy, which up to now remains hallow.”

China’s warning on missed opportunit­ies is “a frank and straightfo­rward pacifist encouragem­ent for other countries like the Philippine­s to not engage in China-bashing and US/Western-praising,” Bienvenido S. Oplas, Jr., founder of think tank Minimal Government Thinkers, said in via Viber.

He said the economic performanc­e of G7 (Group of Seven) last year was mediocre except for Canada and the US. “That means developing countries like the Philippine­s can’t expect much from them in terms of export absorption. Whereas China and India’s growth would be high — 5% and 7%, respective­ly.”

“The Chinese ambassador was talking economics and business, while the US State secretary was talking about militarism and war mongering,” he added. —

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