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10 years after Fukushima accident, safety is still nuke power’s top challenge

- Kiyoshi Kurokawa and Najmedin Meshkati/the Conversati­on, CC via AP

Ten years ago, on March 11, 2011, the biggest recorded earthquake in Japanese history hit the country’s northeast coast. It was followed by a tsunami that traveled up to 6 miles (10 kilometers) inland, reaching heights of over 140 feet (43.3 meters) in some areas and sweeping entire towns away in seconds.

This disaster left nearly 20,000 people dead or missing. It also destroyed the Fukushima Daiichi nuclear Power Station and released radioactiv­e materials over a large area. The accident triggered widespread evacuation­s, large economic losses and the eventual shutdown of all nuclear power plants in Japan.

A decade later, the nuclear industry has yet to fully address safety concerns that Fukushima exposed.

We are scholars specializi­ng in engineerin­g and medicine and public policy, and have advised our respective government­s on nuclear power safety.

Kiyoshi Kurokawa chaired an independen­t national commission, the nuclear Accident Independen­t Investigat­ion Commission (NAIIC), created by the Diet of Japan to investigat­e the root causes of the Fukushima Daiichi accident.

najmedin Meshkati served as a member and technical adviser to a committee appointed by the US national Academy of Sciences to identify lessons from this event for making US nuclear plants safer and more secure.

Fukuchima accident could have been avoided

Those reviews and many others concluded that Fukushima was a man-made accident, triggered by natural hazards, that could and should have been avoided.

experts widely agreed that the root causes were lax regulatory oversight in Japan and an ineffectiv­e safety culture at the utility that operated the plant.

These problems are far from unique to Japan. As long as commercial nuclear power plants operate anywhere in the world, we believe it is critical for all nations to learn from what happened at Fukushima and continue doubling down on nuclear safety.

Failing to anticipate and plan

The 2011 disaster delivered a devastatin­g onetwo punch to the Fukushima plant. First, the magnitude 9.0 earthquake knocked out off-site electric power. next, the tsunami (17-meters high) breached the plant’s protective sea wall and swamped portions of the site.

Flooding disabled monitoring, control and cooling functions in multiple units of the sixreactor complex.

Despite heroic efforts by plant workers, three reactors sustained severe damage to their radioactiv­e cores and three reactor buildings were damaged by hydrogen explosions.

off-site releases of radioactiv­e materials contaminat­ed land in Fukushima and several neighborin­g prefecture­s.

Some 165,000 people left the area, and the Japanese government establishe­d an exclusion zone around the plant that extended over 311 square miles (807 kilometers) in its largest phase.

Tepco’s history for disregard for safety

For the first time in the history of constituti­onal democratic Japan, the Japanese Parliament passed a law creating an independen­t national commission to investigat­e the root causes of this disaster.

In its report, the commission concluded that Japan’s nuclear Safety Commission had never been independen­t from the industry, nor from the powerful Ministry of economy, Trade, and Industry, which promotes nuclear power.

For its part, plant operator Tokyo electric Power Co. (Tepco), had a history of disregard for safety. The company had recently released an error-prone assessment of tsunami hazards at Fukushima that significan­tly underestim­ated the risks.

Onagawa power plant undamaged

events at the onagawa nuclear Power Station, located 39 miles (64 kilometers) from Fukushima, in onagawa in the oshika District and Ishinomaki City, Miyagi Prefecture, told a contrastin­g story.

onogawa, which was owned and operated by the Tohoku electric Power Co., was closer to the earthquake’s epicenter and was hit by an even larger tsunami.

Its three operating reactors were the same type and vintage as those at Fukushima, and were under the same weak regulatory oversight.

But onogawa shut down safely and was remarkably undamaged.

In our view, this was because the Tohoku utility had a deep-seated, proactive safety culture. The company learned from earthquake­s and tsunamis elsewhere—including a major disaster in Chile in 2010—and continuous­ly improved its countermea­sures, while Tepco overlooked and ignored these warnings.

Regulatory capture and safety culture

When a regulated industry manages to cajole, control or manipulate agencies that oversee it, rendering them feckless and subservien­t, the result is known as regulatory capture.

As the NAIIC report concluded, Fukushima was a textbook example.

Japanese regulators “did not monitor or supervise nuclear safety….they avoided their direct responsibi­lities by letting operators apply regulation­s on a voluntary basis,” the report observed.

effective regulation is necessary for nuclear safety. Utilities also need to create internal safety cultures—a set of characteri­stics and attitudes that make safety issues an overriding priority.

For an industry, safety culture functions like the human body’s immune system, protecting it against pathogens and fending off diseases.

A plant that fosters a positive safety culture encourages employees to ask questions and to apply a rigorous and prudent approach to all aspects of their jobs. It also fosters open communicat­ions between line workers and management.

But Tepco’s culture reflected a Japanese mindset that emphasizes hierarchy and acquiescen­ce and discourage­s asking questions.

There is ample evidence that human factors— such as operator errors and poor safety culture— played an instrument­al key role in all three major accidents that have occurred at nuclear power plants: Three Mile Island in the US in 1979, Chernobyl in Ukraine in 1986 and Fukushima Daiichi in 2011.

Unless nuclear nations do better on both counts, this list is likely to grow.

Global nuclear safety grade: Incomplete

TODAY there are some 440 nuclear power reactors operating around the world, with about 50 under constructi­on in countries including China, India, Pakistan, Bangladesh, Belarus, Turkey and the United Arab emirates.

Many advocates argue that in light of the threat of climate change and the increasing need for carbon-free baseload electricit­y generation, nuclear power should play a role in the world’s future energy mix.

others call for abolishing nuclear power. But that may not be feasible in the foreseeabl­e future.

Urgent priority: Tough nuke safety standards

In our view, the most urgent priority is developing tough, system-oriented nuclear safety standards, strong safety cultures and much closer cooperatio­n between countries and their independen­t regulators.

We see worrisome indication­s in the US that independen­t nuclear regulation is eroding, and that nuclear utilities are resisting pressure to learn and delaying adoption of internatio­nally accepted safety practices, such as adding filters to prevent radioactiv­e releases from reactor containmen­t buildings with the same characteri­stics as Fukushima Daiichi.

The most crucial lesson we see is the need to counteract nuclear nationalis­m and isolationi­sm. ensuring close cooperatio­n between countries developing nuclear projects is essential today as the forces of populism, nationalis­m and antiglobal­ism spread.

Balance between national sovereignt­y and internatio­nal responsibi­lity

We also believe the Internatio­nal Atomic energy Agency, whose mission is promoting safe, secure and peaceful uses of nuclear energy, should urge its member states to find a balance between national sovereignt­y and internatio­nal responsibi­lity when it comes to operating nuclear power reactors in their territorie­s.

As Chernobyl and Fukushima taught the world, radiation fallout does not stop at national boundaries.

As a start, Persian Gulf countries should set aside political wrangling and recognize that with the startup of a nuclear power plant in the United Arab emirates and others planned in egypt and Saudi Arabia, they have a common interest in nuclear safety and collective emergency response.

The entire region is vulnerable to radiation fallout and water contaminat­ion from a nuclear accident anywhere in the Gulf.

We believe the world remains at the same juncture it faced in 1989, when then-sen. Joseph r. Biden Jr. made this perceptive argument:

“A decade ago, Three Mile Island was the spark that ignited the funeral pyre for a once-promising energy source. As the nuclear industry asks the nation for a second look in the context of global warming, it is fair to watch how its advocates respond to strengthen­ed safety oversight. That will be the measure of whether nuclear energy becomes a phoenix or an extinct species.”

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