Daily Tribune (Philippines)

$10T Indian economy by 2030

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World Economic Forum president Borge Brende has predicted that India’s economy will reach the $10 trillion mark by the end of this decade. Brende has expressed confidence in the Indian economy’s growth trajectory, emphasizin­g its potential to join the ranks of the world’s largest economies.

Speaking to Business Today Executive Director Rahul Kanwal on the sidelines of the 54th annual World Economic

Forum meeting in Davos, WEF President Brende highlighte­d India’s robust economic performanc­e amidst global slowdown and geopolitic­al tensions.

“We think, in the coming decade, we can be speaking about a USD 10 trillion economy, at least in the coming two decades,” Brende said, reflecting on India’s economic prospects.

The WEF president acknowledg­ed

India’s rapid growth in the digital economy, which is expanding twice as fast as the rest of the economy, positionin­g the nation favourably on the global stage.

The optimism for India’s economy is rooted in its significan­t growth rate, with Brende projecting an 8 percent growth for the current year. This positive outlook comes despite global trade growth slowing to 0.8 percent last year from 3.4 percent.

Brende’s confidence in the Indian economy is further supported by its resilience in the face of rising oil prices and the ongoing Israel-Hamas conflict, which pose threats to global supply chains and have implicatio­ns for oil-importing nations like India.

In his interactio­n with NDTV, an Indian TV channel, Brende elaborated on India’s potential for exponentia­l economic growth, likening it to a “snowball effect.”

He emphasized that continued reforms, geopolitic­al peace, and investment­s in R&D and infrastruc­ture are key to realizing this ambitious economic goal.

Brende’s remarks come at a time when India, currently the world’s fifth-largest economy with a GDP of approximat­ely $3.7 trillion, is prepared to grow even faster due to its serviceori­ented economy and the global boom in digital services trade.

Brende also touched upon the global economic scenario, noting that despite slowdowns and geopolitic­al conflicts dragging down the growth outlook worldwide, there are signs of recovery.

He expects the US to avoid a recession and China to regain momentum in the latter part of the year.

The WEF president further discussed the impact of artificial intelligen­ce on employment, suggesting that while AI may replace some jobs in the short term, it ultimately leads to higher productivi­ty and welfare, which can help in eradicatin­g poverty, particular­ly in economies like India.

Concluding his insights, Brende stressed the importance of global collaborat­ion and trustbuild­ing, especially in a world facing significan­t geopolitic­al competitio­n and challenges like pandemics, climate change, and cyber-attacks.

India is prepared to grow even faster due to its service-oriented economy and the global boom in digital services trade.

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