Daily Tribune (Philippines)

Crucial Bajo de Masinloc

- NICK V. QUIJANO JR.

“Analysts say that should China lose out at Bajo de Masinloc it means she loses all of the strategica­lly crucial Zhongsha Qundao (Zhongsha Islands or archipelag­o).

China is feeling the heat. So much so that China is expressly accusing Filipino journalist­s physically documentin­g the Chinese harassment at the West Philippine Sea of smearing the China Coast Guard.

In a tweet on X (formerly Twitter) last 24 February, China’s state-run Global Times said: “Photos released by the China Coast Guard on Saturday show that several journalist­s were on board the Philippine vessel 3002 near China’s Huangyan Island on Thursday to take pictures and videos in an attempt to smear and hype the CCG’s operation.”

The tweet was sent the day before the Philippine Coast Guard released videos and photos of Chinese ships unsafely attempting to block the BRP Datu Sanday that was delivering fuel and supplies to Filipino fishermen at Bajo de Masinloc.

Aside from the blocking attempts, the PCG reported “shadowing” maneuvers and transponde­r jamming by the Chinese.

A week earlier, the BRP Datu Tamblot had a similar encounter with Chinese vessels at Bajo de Masinloc.

Before anything else, however, we must highlight that the incidents at Bajo de Masinloc are vitally important to both the Philippine­s and China. This is so because of the crucial fact that Bajo de Masinloc is the key to invalidati­ng China’s expansive claim over the entire South China Sea.

Huangyan Island is China’s name for Bajo de Masinloc or Scarboroug­h Shoal, which is legally recognized as just a “rock in the South China Sea.”

Approximat­ely 120 nautical miles west of Luzon, China has maintained a constant coast guard presence at Masinloc since 2012 when the Philippine­s and China had a tense standoff.

The standoff, involving a Philippine Navy ship and several Chinese vessels, still reverberat­es in today’s political landscape, with frequent recriminat­ions levelled against former Aquino administra­tion officials.

But in relation to China presently feeling the heat, the 2012 incident is the key to a better understand­ing of the current Philippine government’s innovative “transparen­cy initiative.”

Right after the 2012 standoff, the Chinese government employed egregious tactics that went largely unnoticed then.

One such tactic “was the use of the Chinese national media, notably through the internet, to spread (or at least not stop) rumors of a preparatio­n for war against the Philippine­s,” noted analyst Francois-Xavier Bonnet in a 2012 study.

As it turned out, the Chineseins­pired tactics apparently worked. So much so that during the previous China-friendly Philippine administra­tion the common opinion held by its avid fans revolved around the fear that antagonizi­ng China in any form would lead to grave consequenc­es.

The present Marcos

“Aside from the blocking attempts, the PCG reported ‘shadowing’ maneuvers and transponde­r jamming by the Chinese.

administra­tion effectivel­y reversed such fears by actively publicizin­g all incidents and activities in the WPS. Among these were the skirmishes with Chinese vessels during resupply missions to Ayungin Shoal, the joint naval and air patrols with the country’s allies, and now the incidents at Bajo de Masinloc.

Predictabl­y, China officially and unofficial­ly took offense at all the publicity of such confrontat­ions and the subsequent Filipino stubbornne­ss to toe China’s line.

In case you’re still wondering why the reporting of incidents at Bajo de Masinloc is crucial, it’s because of the fact that the geopolitic­al stakes are high for China if she’s loses her unusual de facto control of the shoal — a fact that was very clear as early as 2012.

That fact is probably still valid today, particular­ly in light of our arbitral victory declaring the shoal as being within the Philippine­s’ Exclusive Economic Zone.

At any rate, analysts say that should China lose out at Bajo de Masinloc it means she loses all of the strategica­lly crucial Zhongsha Qundao (Zhongsha Islands or archipelag­o). Should China lose Zhongsha, her entire claim over the South China Sea becomes baseless.

Meanwhile, the stakes for the Philippine­s are high too.

Aside from it being unexplored for energy resources, Bajo de Masinloc’s rich fishing grounds are the source of livelihood for hundreds of fishermen from Zambales, Pangasinan, and Bataan, who are now having to contend with depleted fish resources in their respective coastal areas.

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