Manila Bulletin

Vietnam leads over Indonesia, PH in infra investment in Asia

- By BLOOMBERG

It may be one of the smallest economies in Asia, but Vietnam is among those leading the infrastruc­ture race. Vietnam's public and private sector infrastruc­ture investment averaged 5.7 percent of gross domestic product in recent years, the highest in Southeast Asia and compares with 6.8 percent in China, according to the Asian Developmen­t Bank. Indonesia and the Philippine­s spend less than 3 percent, while Malaysia and Thailand spend even less at under 2 percent.

The ADB estimates that emerging economies in the region will need to invest as much as $26 trillion through 2030 to build transport networks, boost power supply and upgrade water and sanitation facilities. Vietnam, among the fastest-growing nations in the world, is boosting infrastruc­ture to lure more foreign investors as it positions itself as Asia's next Tiger Economy.

"The government knows that if they want to compete for investment, low wages aren't enough," said Eugenia Victorino, an economist at Australia & New Zealand Banking Group in Singapore. "They need infrastruc­ture good enough to entice companies to put up factories. The developmen­t has been fairly spread out, with airports and roads being built across the country."

Those efforts are paying off. Foreign direct investment surged to a record $15.8 billion in 2016, and the economy is forecast by the World Bank to expand more than 6 percent until 2019, among the top performers this decade.

Its challenges are formidable. Vietnam needs about $480 billion through 2020 for infrastruc­ture including 11 power plants with total capacity of 13,200 megawatts and about 1,380 kilometers of highways, according to the government. Just last week, Prime Minister Nguyen Xuan Phuc ordered the transport ministry to speed up plans to attract more private investment for infrastruc­ture as the state budget can only meet a third of the financial need.

The share of private investment in infrastruc­ture spending in Vietnam may be less than 10 percent, said Rana Hasan, ADB director of developmen­t economics. In India, the private sector plays a bigger role, accounting for more than 30 percent of total infrastruc­ture investment­s in recent years, he said.

Others are planning to catch up. Philippine President Rodrigo Duterte has embarked on an ambitious goal of infrastruc­ture spending at 7 percent of GDP, valued at $160 billion through 2022. While Indonesian President Joko Widodo struggled to get infrastruc­ture off the ground in his early years in office, momentum is now building with the government speeding up projects including an uninterrup­ted toll-road connection in the country’s main islands and constructi­on of a 720-kilometer railway from Jakarta to Surabaya.

Newspapers in English

Newspapers from Philippines