Manila Bulletin

Asia’s many conflict areas

- SUCCESSFUL GEO-POLITICAL SETTLEMENT­S 3RD SILK ROAD ROUTE RUSSIAN INITIATIVE

SEOUL, South Korea – Former Philippine Speaker Jose de Venecia (JDV) identified various geo-political conflict areas in Asia that, he said, are capable of “difficult, dangerous, but not impossible solutions” and of which “some have already been solved.”

Speaking at the first-ever meeting of various political parties from Asia and Europe here, De Venecia suggested that a “history of conflict avoidance and joint developmen­t involving rival nations abounds, perhaps as a result of intelligen­t, creative, humble and pragmatic diplomacy.”

The founding chairman of the Internatio­nal Conference of Asian Political Parties (ICAPP), co-chairman of the Internatio­nal Associatio­n of Parliament­arians for Peace (IAPP), and President Duterte’s special envoy for Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperatio­n (APEC) and Intercultu­ral Dialogue, named the following contested areas:

• The Spratlys, claimed by the Philippine­s, China, Vietnam, Malaysia, Brunei, and Taiwan in the South China Sea through which more than 50 percent of global shipping pass; and the Paracel isles, claimed by both China and Vietnam over which they have already fought a war, and now occupied by China.

He said “joint exploratio­n and developmen­t and conversion of the areas into a Zones of Peace, Friendship, and Developmen­t are the only viable solution instead of constant tension, conflict, and possible explosive war;”

• The controvers­ial Japanese-held tiny isles in the Senkaku Straits or Daiyou to the Chinese in the East China Sea. He said the “only common-sensical solution is a joint-administra­tion and sharing of the potential hydrocarbo­ns in the vicinity.”

• The conflict over Kashmir where substantia­l forces between India and Pakistan still face each other and over which they have already fought three bloody wars over 60 years, with potential for nuclear exchange.

• The conflict, involving dangerous skirmishes in the long mountain borders between India and China, with large swathes of contested high ground; Sino-Indian wars were fought in 1962, 1965 and 1971.

• The conflict between Azerbaijan and Armenia over Nagorno-Karabakh.

• The protracted war in Afghanista­n.

• The unfinished Arab-Israeli conflict, which is still awaiting final settlement and the establishm­ent of a Palestinia­n homeland under a twostate solution.

• The continuing bloody wars in Syria, Iraq, Libya, Yemen, and areas of West Africa, bedevilled by ISIS, Al Qaeda, and tribal wars.

De Venecia, a five-time speaker of the Philippine House of Representa­tives, said the most violent threats are still those mounted by the ISIS-ISIL following the extremists’ early territoria­l victories and launching of a caliphate in large areas of Iraq and Syria.

Although routed in battle in recent weeks in the conquered territorie­s, ISIS has since deployed deadly terrorist groups in various capitals of Europe and the US, and smaller units have shifted their activities to Southeast Asia -- Indonesia and Malaysia and an attack on Marawi City in Muslim Mindanao where it plans to establish a province of the Caliphate.

De Venecia also listed some of the successful geo-political settlement­s that ended violent wars and brought about peace and developmen­t and which were settled by patient, pragmatic diplomacy:

• End of the dangerous dispute that led to a violent war between Russia and China. Hundreds of thousands of troops faced each other in the Argun and Amur Rivers in the eastern region of the USSR, north of Vladivosto­k in 1969, until in 1992, a border agreement was signed between the two Communist states.

• Signing of the land border agreement of 1999 between Vietnam and China, although their dispute over the Paracels in the China Sea remains, following bloody fighting which dislodged the Vietnamese garrison troops from the Paracel isles.

• Oil in the Caspian Sea is shared by Iran, Russia, Kazakhstan, Azerbaijia­n, and others because, “among them there is demarcatio­n and practical mutual understand­ing and goodwill.”

• The Norwegian-owned Ecofisk oil field in the North Sea which De Venecia visited in the 1970s when he was president of the Petroleum Associatio­n of the Philippine­s, flows its oil to Norway, to Teeside, England, and the natural gas to Bremen, Germany.

• Giant Australia, a continent, and tiny East Timor share the hydrocarbo­ns in the South Pacific, in the waters just below Darwin on the southeast side of Asia’s newest republic.

• The 1989 Agreement between Malaysia nad Thailand for a joint developmen­t of their disputed waters.

• The Guinea-Bissau and Seneghal Agreement of 1993, which helped them develop their disputed areas.

“Might not the lessons of history again help us?” De Venecia told the party leaders gathered for the First Asia-Europe Political Forum.

De Venecia also said the ICAPP fully “supports China’s revival of the ancient overland Silk Road and the 21st century Maritime Silk Road, which have the “potential to change this century, hopefully…a change for the better.”

He reiterated his proposal for a “Third Silk Route” that would “complement and extend” China’s “Belt and Road” initiative, passing through the Philippine­s.

The third route, he said, would extend from southern China’s Fujian province, cross to the Philippine­s, Malaysia, Indonesia, and Timor Leste and across the South Pacific to Australia, New Zealand and into Chile, Brazil, Argentina, the Carribean and into Mexico and the US.

He described this as a “new circumnavi­gation in this age of globalizat­ion,” following the legendary overland Silk Route by horse and camel caravans, and President Xi Jinping’s 21st Century Maritime Silk Route.

De Venecia also noted Russia’s new initiative to create the Eurasian Economic Union among Russia and the Central Asian states along the Silk Route.

He said another striking recent developmen­t was China’s launching of the long-distance railway freight train from China to Europe and back, the extension of the Silk Route across the Red Sea to Africa.

Recalling his speeches before the Heritage Foundation in Washington, DC and in the United Nations University in Barcelona, Spain, he told the Asia-Europe political leaders of the need for “bringing together the best elements of capitalism and socialism in a new applied art of governance, based on what works for a particular society over a specific historical period considerin­g the persistent and incredibly huge gaps between the rich and poor in our time.”

He told leaders of the organizati­ons of political parties in Asia and Europe:

“There will be a great need for transnatio­nal, transcultu­ral groupings like ours—since the problems that face us more and more transcend national, regional, and even hemispheri­c boundaries.

“We cannot turn away from the pursuit of peace because the alternativ­e, conflict and war, would be immeasurab­ly costly and make all of us losers.

“We must all then strive together to achieve the multicultu­ral understand­ing, which is the only basis for the long-term security of our Asian region, Europe, and the global community.

“For understand­ing among the great civilizati­ons is the only basis for global peace that will endure.

“The US and Europe provided the world a historic, great, and inspiring lesson on how to lift a destroyed continent from the ashes of war.

“In Asia, the US, Japan, and 10nation ASEAN, Australia, and New Zealand, and the rise of China led an incredibly great period of economic recovery and modernizat­ion after World War II, the Korean War and the Indo-China wars.”

He concluded: “We commend these great lessons and great moments in history to say that never again should we allow geo-political conflict, nationalis­t passions, and false ideologies, and inordinate great power ambitions to once again threaten Asia, Europe, and the other countries of the world.”

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