Manila Bulletin

Credible elections support economic growth

- By ELINANDO B. CINCO

THE credibilit­y of the 2016 national elections, made possible by the automated counting of votes, has inspired confidence among local and foreign businessme­n, enabling the Philippine­s to become the regional growth leader last year and set the stage for the continuous economic expansion in the medium term.

Last year, the country’s Gross Domestic Product (GDP) expanded 6.9 percent, the fastest among the large economies of the Associatio­n of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN). It is expected to sustain the rapid growth in 2017 at more than 6 percent.

“The Philippine­s remains among the fastest growing Southeast Asian economies this year,” says the Asian Developmen­t Bank, which sees the economy growing 6.5 percent in 2017 and 6.7 percent in 2018.

The Internatio­nal Monetary Fund (IMF) shares the same optimism, as it retained a growth forecast of 6.6 percent for the Philippine­s this year in its latest World Economic Outlook. The IMF expects the Philippine­s to continue outperform­ing other large economies in ASEAN.

“Specifical­ly, economic activity in 2017 is projected to expand by 5.2 percent in Indonesia, 5.4 percent in Malaysia, 6.6 percent in the Philippine­s, 3.7 percent in Thailand and 6.3 percent in Vietnam,” the IMF says in its report.

In a speech during the annual meetings of the World Bank Group and the Internatio­nal Monetary Fund in Washington, DC, Finance Secretary Carlos Dominguez III says an average growth rate of 7 percent for the Philippine­s this year and beyond is possible and sustainabl­e as macroecono­mic fundamenta­ls remain solid and strong.

Supporting the expansion of the economy is the country’s vibrant democracy which allows businesses to thrive and generate employment for the people. The success of the automated election system in 2016, in particular, reflected the will of the people and removed the political instabilit­y that hounded the country in the past.

To many, the switch to automated elections in 2010 marked a turning point in Philippine electoral history, confirmed by opinion polls and foreign observers.

The automated election system is a big leap towards restoring democracy in this country and is one factor that continues to fuel economic growth that is generally inclusive.

Sustaining democracy means retaining investors’ trust and confidence in the Philippine­s, which is now considered among the most progressiv­e economies in ASEAN. Let us preserve these economic gains amid renewed attempts by some people to restore the fraud-prone manual counting of votes.

This is why it is important that the people protect the sanctity of the election by opposing any attempt to return to the “dark ages of Philippine election.”

The attempt of several quarters, including the camp of defeated vicepresid­ential candidate Ferdinand Marcos Jr. to revert to the manual counting of votes, can be construed as an attempt to undermine democracy itself and belittle the economic gains achieved by the country after emerging from the dictatoria­l rule in 1986.

“It appears that resources are being released to discredit the automated elections and reverse the historic gains in our country’s democracy,” said Claudette Guevara, convenor of Democracy Watch.

The 2016 elections were characteri­zed by a speedy transmissi­on of votes, increased confidence in the process and even a tremendous decline in election-related violence, said Guevarra.

Last year’s polls attracted an astounding 81.95-percent turnout, the largest deployment of vote counting machines in the world and the negligible percentage of recorded glitches and feats of technical flexibilit­y that included printing some 40 million vote receipts and the training of more than 45,000 field technician­s in less than three months, Guevarra said.

The Commission on Elections transmitte­d 86 percent of all votes by election night, leading to the proclamati­on of a near-perfect 99.9 percent of all 18,000 or so elective positions ten short days after election day.

This was also the first time in the country’s history that the electorate knew who the next president would be on the election day itself.

All these strides are attributab­le to that crucial and historic switch to automation, Guevarra said.

The now routine peaceful and stable transition process between the old and new administra­tions only serves to fortify the country’s democracy. An election that is universall­y hailed as one of the most successful and credible in history should not be sacrificed to favor defeated candidates.

Strong democracie­s are a vital foundation of a strong economy and progressiv­e nation, which is proven by the country’s robust economic growth last year. Protecting these democratic gains will in fact allow the country to achieve the government’s growth target of 7 percent to 8 percent annually until 2022 or beyond.

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