Manila Bulletin

Moody’s keeps PH investment grade rating

- By CHINO S. LEYCO

Debt-watcher Moody's Investors Service affirmed the Philippine government’s investment grade credit rating owing to the country’s strong economic growth and improving fiscal position.

In a statement, Moody’s said late Friday that the Philippine­s' long-term local currency and foreign currency issuer as well as senior unsecured debt ratings were maintained at “Baa2” with its outlook at “stable.”

“The Baa2 rating incorporat­es a number of very positive credit features, including the high economic strength derived from a large and fast-growing economy, as well as improving fiscal strength based on

moderate government debt levels and gains in debt affordabil­ity,” Moody’s said.

“These are balanced against more negative features which constrain the rating, principall­y low per capita incomes and, relatedly, still low revenuerai­sing capacity as compared to similarly rated peer countries,” the rating agency added.

For the stable outlook, Moody’s said it balances positive and negative factors.

Moody's said it expects that the country’s growth will remain robust and that the Philippine­s' fiscal metrics will strengthen somewhat as the government continues to make progress on its socioecono­mic reform agenda.

Meanwhile, Moody’s noted that policymake­rs face challenges in managing the current inflationa­ry pressures, which already surpassed government’s target range.

“In addition, domestic political developmen­ts and prospectiv­e changes to governance frameworks,

including a shift to a federal form of government, present downside risks to the country's institutio­nal and fiscal profile,” it said.

Moody's has also affirmed the government's foreign currency senior unsecured shelf rating at (P)Baa2 and the senior unsecured ratings for the liabilitie­s of the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) at Baa2.

“In Moody's view, the credit quality of the central bank is closely aligned with that of the government,” the agency explained.

Last Wednesday, Fitch Ratings also kept the Philippine­s’ a notch above the minimum investment grade status on the back of the country’s robust economic growth, government’s comfortabl­e debt level, and policies supporting macroecono­mic stability.

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