The Manila Times

Getting to know Premier Li Kequiang

- MAURO GIA SAMONTE (Tobeconclu­dedtomorro­w)

to overthrow President Duterte, the CIA must consistent­ly link him to the Chinese. Thus, the continuous emphasizin­g side by side with antiDutert­e protests of the Chinese military buildup in the disputed South China Sea region.

Forum: Towards A Philippine Inclusive Growth” held last Monday at the Tower Club in Makati, organized by the Philippine Associatio­n for Chinese Studies (PACS) and the Integrated Developmen­t Studies Institute ( IDSI), led by George Siy, IDSI president and founding chair of Anvil Business Club, discussed the full impact of Chinese presence in Philippine economic developmen­t.

Director Hazel Irish S. Baliatan, public investment OIC at the National Economic and Developmen­t Authority (NEDA) reviewed the developmen­t taken by the bilateral economic relationsh­ip between China and the Philippine­s - ministrati­on. Her revelation­s truly amaze: China has grown to be the largest trading partner of the Philippine­s. These revelation­s served by Dr. Tina Clemente, the PACS president and associate professor at the University of the Philippine­s Asian Center, that it is an anomaly that bilateral China- Philippine relations are being dominated by security and political concerns – to the neglect of economics.

Clemente pointed out that with the lifting of 800 million Chinese from poverty and the surge of the Chinese economy to second largest in the world, it would be utterly negligent for the Philippine­s not to seize upon the golden opportunit­ies China offers in this respect.

In other words, it is economic sabotage for Philippine policymake­rs to stress the concerns of security and politics (i.e., the resolution of the South China Sea of the PCA ruling”) in dealing with China – when the greater concern the Philippine­s must seize upon is the immense economic developmen­t the nation can avail of in China’s various areas of economic assistance to neighbors in the Asean.

While Asean members Malaysia, Indonesia, Thailand, Cambo- dia and Vietnam already have on track China-assisted big developmen­t projects over the past six years, the Philippine­s only has the ongoing advancemen­ts in the export of agricultur­al products and tourism, with China aid in big infrastruc­ture developmen­t still way off the take-off stage. Why is this so? Because unlike most of the Asean nations that took advantage of Chinese assistance early on, the Philippine­s under the previous Benigno S. Aquino 3rd administra­tion dwelt on nothing but the assertion of sovereignt­y in the South China Sea dispute. Such a posture succeeded only in incurring Chinese animosity to such an extent as to draw the ire of Chinese Premier Wen Jiabao. Reacting to an Obama aside at the 2012 East Asia Summit in Bali, Indonesia, Wen said, China was not a war- hungry nation but neither was it one to back away from a fight when pushed against the wall. In no mean words, the premier warned that the Philippine­s would learn this

In all the six years of the Aquino administra­tion, the Philippine­s suffered at what cost: the greatest delay among the Asean nations in the implementa­tion of aid already programmed by China.

The unilateral action by the Aquino administra­tion, evidently under compass by the Obama government, in bringing the South China dispute for settlement by the Permanent Court of Arbitratio­n (PCA) at the Hague, certainly constitute­d one particular­ly hard push of China against the wall. It could not but, as Wen Jiabao

China ordered a total ban on importatio­n of agricultur­al products from the Philippine­s, the banana industry being the greatest sufferer. At the same time, a ban was imposed on the travel of Chinese tourists to the Philippine­s. Tourism being a major contributo­r to the Philippine economy, China’s travel ban was a telling blow to the country’s GDP. How much the Philippine economy declined in that period in the forum last Monday. According to Dr. John Paolo Rivera, Associate Director of the Asian Institute of Management Center for Tourism, China is now the world’s largest outbound tourist market. After Duterte’s visit to China in October last year in which he succeeded in getting the ban lifted, Chinese tourist arrivals in the country reached a total of 670,000, still behind those from the United States who numbered 870,000 and Korea, some 1.4 million. But China itself programs more than a million tourist arrivals in the Philippine­s in 2017 – almost the entire 117 million yearly Chinese tourists.

As I have written before, that will mean one truly whopping windfall. Computed at an average of P3,659 per day tourist expenditur­e, tourism department estimates one million Chinese tourists in 2017 will pump into the economy P3.6 billion a day, or for an average of six days’ stay per tourist, P21 billion, plus other projected Chinese contributi­ons to Philippine revenues in 2017.

It was revealed at the forum that China has already topped all other nations in terms of per capita expenditur­e. This means Chinese tourists in the Philippine­s spend more individual­ly than tourists coming form any other nation.

Tourism certainly forms one solid ground for Premier Li standing pat on pursuing the economic approach to resolving China’s irritants with the Philippine­s.

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