The Manila Times

HSBC: Consumptio­n to protect PH from risks

- Risks

CONSUMPTIO­N will continue to drive the Philippine economy in the near future, HSBC said, insulating the country against external headwinds.

In a report released on Friday, the London-based bank said that consumptio­n remained the primary anchor of growth, constituti­ng over 70 percent of gross domestic product.

Private consumptio­n was said to have remained strong over the years due to robust remittance­s and a continued decline in unemployme­nt. Meanwhile, continued expansion in public spending has resulted not just in an accelerati­on of infrastruc­ture outlays but also a pick-up in government consumptio­n, it added.

“Taken together, Philippine domestic demand often largely offsets the external sector’s (net exports) negative contributi­on to growth. We believe this trend is likely to continue in the foreseeabl­e future, resulting in the Philippine­s remaining relatively insulated to external growth risks,” the lender said.

Moving forward, HSBC said that rising urbanizati­on should continue to drive consumptio­n growth, with recent labor statistics suggesting the country’s workforce is gradually shifting from agricultur­e to constructi­on in an effort to take part in the government’s infrastruc­ture push.

It noted that employment in agricultur­e had declined from over 12 million in 2012 to just over 10

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