The Manila Times

RECENT PESO WEAKNESS‘NOT A MAJOR CONCERN’

- BY MAYVELIN U. CARABALLO

THE peso’s recent weakness isn’t a major economic concern given the Philippine­s’ relatively low foreign debt, London- based Capital Economics said. report, noted that the peso — down by just under 4 percent against the greenback since the start of 2018 — was currently the worst performing emerging market currency.

The decline, it added, also comes at a time when the dollar has been depreciati­ng against other currencies —as a result the peso weakened by even more in trade-weighted terms.

Nonetheles­s, “a low level of foreign currency debt in the Philippine­s means the recent weakness of the peso is not a major concern,” Capital Economics said.

It estimated that the country’s total foreign debt was equivalent to just over 30 percent of gross domestic product ( GDP), relatively low compared to other emerging markets.

Capital Economics pointed out that countries hit by foreign currency debt crises typically had ratios of around 50 percent of GDP or more.

“In fact, despite the current worries

appear to be welcoming the boost to competitiv­eness the weak currency is providing to the country’s exporters,” it noted.

The research firm said it was important to remember that a too, most notably by boosting export competitiv­eness.

Au tho r i t ies have made developing a competitiv­e manufactur­ing sector one of their key priorities and a weaker currency should help, it added.

The Finance department, meanwhile, said the peso depreciati­on was far from a sign of structural weakness, even after the balance of payments turned negative.

“When the rate was at the lower end of the 40s, the peso was very strong that there were calls for its depreciati­on. We got what we have called for,” said Finance Undersecre­tary Gil Beltran.

He also stressed that the Philippine­s’ fundamenta­ls were strong.

“At more than $81 billion, our reserves amount to more than 8 months of imports. That is reserves prior to the 1997 Asian

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