The Manila Times

50 years of the NPT

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IAEA safeguards

The IAEA safeguards system has always served, and still serves, to verify the fulfilment of the states’ obligation­s under the NPT. The participat­ing states’ confidence in the IAEA’s monitoring mechanism is a key factor in the sustainabi­lity of the nuclear non- proliferat­ion regime. The IAEA system of safeguards needs to be consistent­ly strengthen­ed, primarily through a gradual universali­zation of the Additional Protocol, which remains a strictly voluntary matter for each NPT party to sign. At the same time, reforms, modificati­ons and “evolution” of these safeguards would be justified only if the system itself remains objective, depolitici­zed, technicall­y sound, understand­able for the member states and based on the rights and obligation­s of the parties in accordance with the agreements they signed with the agency. Any new subjective elements in the applicatio­n of the safeguards will inevitably make the IAEA control mechanism vulnerable to fleeting political interests, and hence lead to the erosion of the fundamenta­l principle of noninterfe­rence in the member states’ internal affairs. This could result in detrimenta­l consequenc­es for both the system of safeguards and the NPT as a whole.

The reform poses the risk that informatio­n at odds with reality supplied by open sources and socalled “third parties” (intelligen­ce agencies of different countries) will be inserted into the process of assessing states’ compliance with their non-proliferat­ion commitment­s. Meanwhile, conclusion­s on the countries’ compliance with non- proliferat­ion obligation­s are drafted, just like before the reform, by internatio­nal bureaucrat­s in the IAEA Secretaria­t, and the practice is not going to change. In this case the nature of very important conclusion­s on safeguards would depend on the biased opinions of those bu-

mistrust of a certain informatio­n source. In other words, what had been a technical process may turn into a political one.

- est political oversight on the part of the IAEA member states over the reform of the safeguards payment on the long-term sustainabi­lity of the non-proliferat­ion regime based on the NPT. Transparen­cy of the Agency’s

- rameters of the reform is critically important for maintainin­g trust in the safeguards system. In our view, any conclusion on safeguards must be made exclusivel­y on the basis of the informatio­n the Secretaria­t is ready to defend in an open discussion in the Agency’s managing bodies. Data

manner, as well judgments of the “very likely” or “highly likely” variety, may not be taken into considerat­ion when conclusion­s on safeguards are made.

Iran deal

Nuclear non- proliferat­ion goes hand in hand with peaceful exploratio­n of nuclear technologi­es and underwrite­s further progress in nuclear science and energy. The increasing interest in peaceful nuclear energy, especially for power, is a pronounced and objective trend of our time. Over 450 powergener­ating units are currently operating in the world, 55 more are under constructi­on. There is also increasing interest in technical cooperatio­n projects as well as in non- energy uses of nuclear technologi­es.

A serious challenge to the NPT regime can be seen in the US withdrawal from the Joint Comprehens­ive Plan of Action (JCPOA) on Iran’s nuclear program, which was unanimousl­y acknowledg­ed by all the parties to the JCPOA as a key achievemen­t in nuclear non-proliferat­ion, and an example of resolving complicate­d non-proliferat­ion challenges through the NPT. The measures under the JCPOA, includ-

as the mechanisms of informatio­n exchange, are unpreceden­ted and give a reliable guarantee that Tehran’s nuclear program is entirely peaceful in nature.

The situation with the JCPOA may have a negative impact on the nascent possibilit­y of settling the Korean nuclear problem and may add elements of concern, mutual mistrust as well as suspicion to con-

Russia is aware of its responsibi­lity as a founding and depositary state of the NPT. Ensuring the integrity and sustainabl­e operation of the NPT calls for consistent efforts to improve the spirit of constructi­ve cooperatio­n within the framework of the NPT, to bring about a rapprochem­ent in the parties’ positions on various aspects of the review process, to avoid unnecessar­y politiciza­tion, and to act with utmost discretion with regard to the NPT and any other internatio­nal agreements based on it.

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