Lying Noynoy

(e.g. 2012 = 2013 report).

Given these, the total number of Filipinos infected by dengue from 20122016 was 900,089.

- ure (80 percent of 200,000) to include people who are infected by dengue but aren’t showing any symptoms (asymptomatic cases).

A more reliable multiplier in order to include asymptomatic cases is the adjustment factor computed by Dr. Frances E. Edillo et al. in their 2015 study published in the AmericanJournal titled “Economic Cost and Burden of Dengue in the Philippines.”

The adjustment factor is 7.2, which means for every 1 reported case there are 7.2 actual dengue infections. So, from 2012 to 2016, the estimated number of all dengue infections is 6,480,641 (900,089 x 7.2).

The figure 6,480,641 is only 5.8 percent of our population in 2015 (i.e. 110,981,437). Thus, the estimated population percentage that are seropositive (infected by dengue) is not 90 percent, as Aquino falsely claimed, but around 5.8 percent. That means, around 94.2 percent are probably seronegative (not infected by dengue) when he approved the mass vaccination.

Third, Aquino’s computation of how many seronegatives there were among the Dengvaxia vaccinees at risk of severe dengue is also wrong.

His estimate of .02 percent of 10 percent of 1 million is inaccurate. Ac-