Confronting new climate reality in Asia-Pacific

BANGKOK, Thailand: Last week, world leaders gathered at the United Nations in New York for the Climate Action Summit. Their goal was simple: to increase ambition and accelerate action in the face of a mounting climate emergency.

For many, this means ambition and action that enable countries to decarbonize their economies by the middle of the century. But that is only half the equation.

Equally ambitious plans are also needed to build the resilience of vulnerable sectors and communities being battered by climate- related disasters of increasing frequency, intensity and unpredictability.

Nowhere is this reality starker than

suffered another punishing year of devastation due to extreme events linked to climate change.

Last year, Kerala state in India had its worst floods in a cen

this year were unprecedented. Floods and heatwaves in quick succession in Japan caused widespread destruction and loss of life.

In several South Asian countries, immediately following a period of drought, weeks of heavy monsoon rains this month

- slides. Across North East and South Asia, record high temperatures have been set.

The latest research from the United Nations Economic and Social Commission for Asia and the Pacific ( UN Escap) has shown that intense heatwaves and drought are becoming more frequent.

Unusual tropical cyclones originate from beyond the traditional risk zones and follow tracks that have not been seen before, causing unprecedented floods throughout the region.

Science tells us the impacts are only going to increase in severity and frequency as the concentration of greenhouse gas emissions in the atmosphere continues to rise.

The poor and vulnerable are taking the biggest hit. Disasters cost lives and damage livelihood and assets. Disaster exposure has increased child malnutrition and mortality rates and forced poor families to take children out of school — entrenching intergenerational poverty.

It also perpetuates inequalities within and between countries. A person in small-island developing

times more at risk of disasters than a person elsewhere in our disasterprone region. Vanuatu has faced annual losses of over 20 percent of its gross domestic product.

In Southeast Asia, Laos, Cambodia and Vietnam have all faced losses of more than 5 percent of their gross domestic product (GDP). In short, disasters are slowing down and often reversing poverty reduction and widening inequality.

But amid this cycle of disaster and vulnerability lies a golden opportunity for careful and forward- looking investment. The Global Commission on Adaptation recently found that there would be over $7 trillion in total net benefits between now and 2030 from investing in early warning systems, climateresilient infrastructure, improved dryland agriculture, mangrove protection and in making water resources more resilient.

So, where could countries in

start? First, by providing people with the means to overcome shocks. Increasing social protection is a good start.

Currently, developing countries in Asia and the Pacific only spend about 3.7 percent of their GDP on social protection, compared to the world average of 11.2 percent, leaving people vulnerable in case they get sick, lose their jobs, become old or are hit by a disaster.

In the aftermath of Typhoon “Haiyan” ( Super Typhoon “Yolanda”) in the Philippines, we saw the effectiveness of social protection, especially cash transfers, but these were only made possible because the government was able to use a conditional cash transfer system and mechanism already in place for poor and vulnerable people.

burden of the poor. Disaster risk

poor and vulnerable people from climate shocks and help them recover from disasters.

A good example is Mongolia’s index- based insurance scheme that its government has been using to deal with the increased frequency of where a combination of droughts and shortage of pasture lead to massive livestock deaths.

help countries pool the risks as is happening through the emerging Asean Disaster Risk Financing and Insurance program.

Third, by increasing investment in new technologies and

driven risk analytics, as well as the fast combination of sensor and geospatial data, can strengthen early warning systems. Children run away from a forest fire in a village in Palembang, South Sumatra, on September 18.

Big data, including from mobile phones, can help identify and locate vulnerable populations in risk hotspots who have been the hardest to reach so far, ensuring faster, more targeted help after disasters.

Experience around the region has already shown the potential of using tech and big data to alleviate disaster risks. In India, a combination of automated risk analytics, geospatial data and a digital identity system — the so-called Aadharr system — have helped to identify and deliver assistance to millions of droughtaffected subsistence farmers.

But much more investment is needed to make technology an integral part of disaster risk response and resilience building.

Climate- related disasters are likely to increase in the Asia

reality. The Climate Action Summit provides the perfect platform to make the commitments needed for helping communities and people to adapt to this reality before decades of hard-won development gains are washed away.