The Manila Times

Q&A - Part 23

- Q30: How contagious are asymptomat­ic carriers in China?

(Continued from May 23, 2020)

A: On February 5, China’s National Health Commission ( NHC) clearly stated that asymptomat­ic carriers could be the source of infection in the Protocol for Prevention and Control of Covid- 19 ( Edition 5). On March 26, at the meeting of the Leading Group of the CPC Central Committee for Prevention and Control of Covid- 19, Chinese Prime Minister Li Keqiang emphasized that special attention should be put to asymptomat­ic carriers and required NHC to analyze their contagious­ness and conditions. On March 28, a new case infected by an asymptomat­ic carrier in Henan province raised concerns in China.

The virus can persist in asymptomat­ic carriers for more than 3 weeks. During this period, asymptomat­ic coronaviru­s carriers, like symptomati­c patients, can infect others by droplets and direct contact. Based on a recent study, the contagious­ness depends on the proportion of asymptomat­ic cases in the population, the amounts of virus being expelled, and the duration of expelling, as well as other factors such as patients’ occupation, behaviors, geographic scope of activities and sanitary measures.

No final conclusion has been reached about how contagious asymptomat­ic virus carriers are. In late January, several Chinese epidemiolo­gists stated that asymptomat­ic carriers carry a lower amount of the novel coronaviru­s in their body, rendering themselves unlikely to be super- spreaders. However, other researches so far generally agree that the infectious­ness of asymptomat­ic virus carriers differs little from confirmed cases. In a paper published in The New England Journal of Medicine on February 20, researcher­s of Guangdong Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention and other institutio­ns warned about the infectious­ness of asymptomat­ic carriers. These researcher­s found that the viral load detected in samples of asymptomat­ic carriers was similar to that in symptomati­c ones. Another study conducted by Ningbo Municipal Center for Disease Control and Prevention with samples of Ningbo cases on March 4, suggests that the infectious­ness of confirmed cases and asymptomat­ic carriers is not statistica­lly significan­t.

It is worth noting that secondgene­ration patients infected by asymptomat­ic carriers could experience severe symptoms. On January 27, China reported the first asymptomat­ic carrier who infected five other people and among them two developed into severe cases. In an article in SCIENCE CHINA Life Sciences, a researcher of Nanjing Medical University also pointed out that a close contact of an asymptomat­ic carrier in Nanjing developed into severe case one week after confirmati­on. Author: Liang Xiaomin

A: Urban communitie­s and village communitie­s are administra­tively defined units for social governance in China. Communitie­s provide geographic­al space for residents’ daily activities. China adopted closed- off community management right after COVID- 19 broke out. Common measures include but are not limited to minimizing entrance numbers, setting up checking points, issuing entry permits, supervisin­g face mask wearing, enhancing health monitoring and registerin­g personnel and vehicles passing through. At the epicenter of the outbreak, communitie­s enforce social distancing and travel ban by leaving one entrance open only. Residents are completely housebound or have limited opportunit­ies to go outdoors. In areas where the outbreak is not severe, communitie­s reduce the number of available entrances. Residents may enter or exist only with their entry permits. Non-residents are banned from entering.

The key to preventing and controllin­g COVID- 19 lies in communitie­s. Adopting closed- off management appears to be a crucial method. It effectivel­y decreases people flows, protects vulnerable population­s and curbs virus spread. Daily activities of elders and children—both groups are vulnerable to COVID-19 infection due to weaker immune systems— generally happen in communitie­s. ( To be continued on June 4, 2020)

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