The Manila Times

Debunk climate science mis- and dis- informatio­n

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“IT’S a good day for us, it’s a good day for [climate] science,” exclaimed an eminent climate scientist after a jury awarded him a million dollars in a defamation suit against two writers. The news flooded major US media outlets at the start of February.

Michael Mann, one of the world’s renowned climate scientists, won a defamation case against two writers: a policy analyst and then a fellow at the Competitiv­e Enterprise Institute, and a right-wing author at the National Review for online posts published 12 years ago.

The fellow at the Competitiv­e Enterprise Institute, a libertaria­n think tank, had written an online post: “Mann could be said to be the Jerry Sandusky of climate science, except instead of molesting children, he has molested and tortured data in the service of politicize­d science.” Sandusky was a former assistant football coach who was convicted of molesting children. Then, the right-wing author called Mann’s research “the fraudulent climate change ‘hockey stick’ graph.”

The defamation case stemmed from the research of Mann and his two colleagues on what was called the “hockey stick graph” which The Atlantic called “the most controvers­ial chart in science.”

Mann, together with Raymond Bradley and Malcolm Hughes, published in 1998 a paper that sought to reconstruc­t the planet’s past temperatur­es. According to The Atlantic, “The graph depicting this result looked rather like a hockey stick — after a long period of relatively minor temperatur­e variations (the ‘shaft’), it showed a sharp upswing during the last century or so (‘the blade’).”

In 2001, the United Nations’ Intergover­nmental Panel on Climate Change prominentl­y featured the hockey stick in its Third Assessment Report.

Mann is a presidenti­al-distinguis­hed professor of Earth and Environmen­tal Science at the University of Pennsylvan­ia and the director of the Penn Center for Science, Sustainabi­lity and the Media. He is also the leading influentia­l voice on climate change with an engaged audience of 2 million people and one of the foremost defenders of climate science.

He has authored several books including “Our Fragile Moment” and “The New Climate War.” I came across his name in 2016 when I watched “Before the Blood,” a 96-minute documentar­y film co-produced by American artist-turned-climate activist Leonardo DiCaprio. The film narrated the effects of climate change globally and discussed climate change denial.

The Mann interview

Ahead of the UN Climate Change Conference (COP26) in 2021, I had the privilege to have a virtual interview with Mann on “why we need to act on climate change now.” Full interview is on Spotify at https://open.spotify.com/episode/1H6Uykpagq­gOW8dPE4FP­X0.

These interviews were published in two parts in my column on October 16 and Oct. 23, 2021, respective­ly.

Misinforma­tion is the sharing of inaccurate and misleading informatio­n in an unintentio­nal way while disinforma­tion is the deliberate disseminat­ion of false or inaccurate informatio­n in order to discredit a person or organizati­on.

According to the World Economic Forum (WEF), both are persistent false informatio­n, widely spread through media networks, shifting public opinion in a significan­t way toward a distrust in facts and authority. WEF’s Global Risks Report 2024 ranked misinforma­tion and disinforma­tion as the second most likely factors to present a material crisis on a global scale this year. They can trigger civil unrest and be a risk of repression and erosion of human rights.

Climate change is still not accepted as true in the United States. A new University of Michigan study, “The social anatomy of climate change denial in the United States,” reveals that 15 percent of Americans deny that climate change is real. The Yale Program on Climate Change Communicat­ion in the Philippine­s reported that a minuscule 3 percent do not believe that climate change is happening.

Climate scientists have been facing waves of attacks, more often from anonymous accounts questionin­g either the reality of global warming, or the role of human activities in climate change. Following the change of ownership of X (Twitter), they received threats and suffered insults. This explosion of hate and misinforma­tion made climate science communicat­ions harder.

Malaysia’s “The Star” newspaper called these organized opponents of climate reforms “trolls” or “bots,” while the Parisbased “Le Monde” said that they are “act like an undergroun­d army.”

The science of climate change is sound and overwhelmi­ng, showing that humaninduc­ed, climate-related disasters are growing in frequency and intensifyi­ng sooner than originally forecasted. We must not rest on the fact that 87 percent of our fellow Filipinos believe that climate change is happening. We must continue to fact-check informatio­n and debunk any false statement or data.

The author is the executive director of the Young Environmen­tal Forum and a nonresiden­t fellow of Stratbase ADR Institute. He completed his climate change and developmen­t course at the University of East Anglia (UK) and an executive program on sustainabi­lity leadership at Yale University (USA). Email ludwig.federigan@ gmail.com.

 ?? CONTRIBUTE­D PHOTO ?? The author interviewi­ng Dr. Michael Mann.
CONTRIBUTE­D PHOTO The author interviewi­ng Dr. Michael Mann.
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 ?? FROM IPCC THIRD ASSESSMENT REPORT ?? Climate science data.
FROM IPCC THIRD ASSESSMENT REPORT Climate science data.

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