Ozone-depleting gases traced to China

Industries in northeastern China have spewed large quantities of an ozone-depleting gas into the atmosphere in violation of an international treaty, scientists said Wednesday.

Since 2013, annual emissions from northeastern China of the banned chemical CFC-11 have increased by about 7,000 tons, they reported in the peer-reviewed journal Nature.

"CFCs are the main culprit in depletion of the stratospheric ozone layer, which protects us from the Sun's ultra-violet radiation," said lead author Matt Rigby, an atmospheric chemist at the University of Bristol.

Chlorofluorocarbon-11 was widely used in the 1970s and 1980s as a refrigerant and to make foam insulation.

The 1987 Montreal Protocol banned CFCs and other industrial aerosols that chemically dissolve protective ozone 10-to-40 kilometers (6-25 miles) above Earth's surface, especially over Antarctica and Australia.

Following the ban's entry into force, global concentrations of CFC-11 declined steadily until about 2012.

But last year startled scientists discovered that the pace of that slowdown dropped by half from 2013 to 2017. Because the chemical does not occur in Nature, the change could only have been produced by new emissions.

Evidence pointed to East Asia, but could not nail down the exact origin.

"Our monitoring stations were set up in remote locations far from potential sources," explained co-author Ron Prinn, a professor at MIT.

Reports last year from the Environmental Investigation Agency fingered Chinese foam factories in the coastal province of Shandong and the inland province of Hebei, which surrounds Beijing.

Suspicions were strengthened when authorities subsequently shut down some of these facilities without explanation.

To probe further, an international team of atmospheric scientists gathered additional data from monitoring stations in Japan and Taiwan.

"Our measurements showed 'spikes' in pollution when air arrived from industrialised areas" in China, said another lead author, Sunyoung Park from Kyungpook National University.

ROGUE FACTORIES

The team also ran computer simulations that confirmed the origin of the CFC-11 molecules.

"We didn't find evidence of increased emissions from Japan, the Korean peninsula or any other country," added Luke Western, a postdoctoral researcher at the University of Bristol.

The findings also has implications for the fight against climate change.

"Perhaps even more serious is the role of CFCs as long-lived greenhouse gases," Joanna Haigh, a professor at Imperial College London, noted last year in reaction to the initial report.

Two decades ago, CFCs -- more potent by far as greenhouse gases than carbon dioxide or methane -- accounted for around 10 percent of human-induced global warming.

Pouring more CFC11 into the air could also prevent ozone from returning to normal levels, scientists warn.

"If emissions do not decline, it will delay the recovery of the Antarctic ozone hole, possibly for decades," said Paul Fraser, an honorary fellow the CSIRO Climate Science Centre in Australia.

CFC-11 persists in the atmosphere for about half a century, and still contributes about a quarter of all chlorine -- the chemical that triggers the breakdown of ozone -- reaching the stratosphere.

At its most depleted, around the turn of the 21st century, the ozone layer had declined by about five percent. Today, the "hole in the ozone" over the South Pole is showing clear signs of recovery.

But a study last year found that the ozone layer is unexpectedly declining in the lower stratosphere over the planet's populated tropical and mid-latitude regions.

Up to now, CFCs and other molecules have mainly eroded ozone in the upper stratosphere, and over the poles.

That study identified two possible culprits: industrial chemicals not covered by the Montreal Protocol called "very short-lived substances" (VSLSs), and climate change.