Dueling tariffs raise fears of long US-China trade war
BEIJING/WASHINGTON (Reuters) – The US and China exchanged the first salvos in what could become a protracted trade war on Friday, slapping tariffs on $34 billion worth of each others’ goods and giving no sign of willingness to start talks aimed at a reaching a truce.
Duties on a range of Chinese goods imported into the United States took effect on Friday and were immediately countered by measures from China, with Beijing accusing the United States of triggering the “largest-scale trade war.”
The escalating fight between the world’s two biggest economies meant that it could “take economic and political pain to get these two parties to the (negotiating) table,” said Scott Kennedy, head of China studies at the Center for Strategic and International Studies in Washington.
President Donald Trump is already threatening additional rounds of tariffs, possibly targeting more than $500 billion worth of Chinese goods roughly the total amount of US imports from China last year.
It will take weeks or months for the US Trade Representative to review and possibly activate any new rounds of punishment.
“The key questions during that time are what will happen to financial markets, how will US voters react and will China’s economy start to wobble,” Kennedy said in a telephone interview.
Erin Ennis, senior vice president of the US China Business Council, said there was a danger the two sides will dig in on trade sanctions without a clear strategy for resuming negotiations.
While US companies doing business in China agree with Trump’s complaint about Chinese intellectual property practices, Ennis said they do not see tariffs pushing China into submission.
China’s commerce ministry said it was forced to retaliate, meaning imported US goods including cars, soybeans, and lobsters also faced 25 percent tariffs.
Some of Trump’s fellow Republicans in the US Congress lashed out at his actions.
“Tariffs not only hurt our farmers, ranchers and airplane manufacturers, but they also harm every American consumer. We should be working with our allies to isolate China rather than escalate a trade war,” said Senator Jerry Moran, who represents the agriculture-heavy state of Kansas.
China’s soymeal futures fell more than two percent on Friday afternoon before recovering most of those losses amid initial market confusion over whether Beijing had actually implemented the tariffs, which it later confirmed it had.
Friday’s long-expected China tariff volley fueled fear that a prolonged and escalating battle would hurt global trade, investment and growth, while also damaging US farm exports and potentially driving up food prices in China. For example, US-based audio company Sonos Inc. noted in an initial public offering on Friday its performance “may be materially harmed” by trade restrictions.