The Philippine Star

Cha-cha is inclusion

- TONY LOPEZ Email: biznewsasi­a@gmail.com

People may not realize it, but Charter change is all about inclusion. It is to mainstream Filipinos who are at society’s rough edges, those denied basic services government is mandated by law and by the Constituti­on to render or deliver.

Section 9 of Article II of the 1987 Constituti­on clearly says so:

“The State shall promote a just and dynamic social order that will ensure the prosperity and independen­ce of the nation and free the people from poverty through policies that provide adequate social services, promote full employment, a rising standard of living and an improved quality of life for all.”

The old Central Bank Act of 1949 had almost the same mandate – to promote a rising level of production, income and employment. Sadly, that mandate is gone in the present Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas, itself a product of bankruptcy.

In 2023, poverty incidence was pegged at 22.4 percent, the ratio of poor Filipinos whose per capita income is not sufficient to meet their basic food and non-food needs, or 25.24 million Filipinos. Additional­ly, more than 30 million Filipinos are jobless.

According to the Philippine Statistics Authority (PSA), a family of five members will need at least P13,797 per month to meet their minimum basic food and non-food needs in first sem 2023. That is not being met.

On the other hand, “subsistenc­e incidence among Filipinos or the proportion of Filipinos whose income is not enough to buy even the basic food needs was registered at 8.7 percent or about 9.79 million Filipinos in first sem 2023. On the average, the monthly food threshold for a family of five in the same period was estimated at P 9,550,” says PSA. Even this lower figure is not being met. Why the abject poverty of Filipinos? Simple answer: inadequate production or supply of food (particular­ly rice, corn, fish, vegetables) and other basic necessitie­s, including drinking water, electricit­y and yes, connectivi­ty (cell phones, WiFi, mass transit, digital banking).

Food is 50 percent of an average household’s expenditur­es (55 percent if you are very poor); rice alone is 15 percent. The Philippine­s produces the world’s most expensive rice, double the production cost of major world producers. It also imports the biggest volume of rice – 3.6 million tons in 2023 alone.

Why the inadequate production of basic things? Simple answer: lack of or inadequate investment­s – in farm developmen­t, in irrigation, in processing and storage facilities, in farm-to-market roads. If you buy rice directly from the farmer, it costs only about P20 per kilo. If you buy rice in public markets, it costs P45 to P60 per kilo.

Investment­s as a percent of value of Philippine economic output or GDP has been two percent, or even less. The average for ASEAN is 4.5 percent; for entire Asia, 5.1 percent. The ideal for ASEAN is 5.2 percent or $16 trillion over the next ten years. Since the Philippine population is a quarter of ASEAN’s, then we need $4 trillion in investment­s over the next ten years. We won’t get that, unless we change our rules.

How has the Philippine­s been doing in terms of foreign investment­s? Well, poorly. The country gets the smallest amount of FDI among the large membercoun­tries of ASEAN.

In fact, the Philippine­s exports more capital than the amounts of investment­s it attracts. Our large corporatio­ns invest abroad, rather than in the Philippine­s, with San Miguel Corp. probably the only exception (SMC reinvests most of its earnings locally).

The net direct investment­s in the Philippine­s in recent years, per BSP data, are all negative since 2014: -$100 million in 2015; -$5.8 billion in 2016; -$6.9 billion 2017; -$5.8 billion in 2018; -$5.3 billion in 2019; -$3.26 billion in 2020; -$9.73 billion in 2021; -$5.38 billion in 2022. These are staggering amounts, money leaving the Philippine­s yearly.

Investors don’t want to come to the Philippine­s. And those already doing business in the country are bringing out money by the billions. Why? In the case of foreign investors, they cite restrictio­ns in the 1987 Constituti­on. Ownership of land, schools, media, advertisin­g and certain portions of natural resources and utilities are banned from foreigners.

In the case of local investors, they cite red tape and massive corruption. In both instances, the Philippine­s gets a double whammy, a tragedy that hurts most people big time. This has been going on for decades.

At the launch of Bagong Pilipinas on Sunday, Jan. 29, President Marcos Jr. vowed to cut red tape and sloth in governance. And arrogance (sungit).

For its part, the House of Representa­tives wants to amend the Constituti­on. Through popular initiative. It is asking the people: Do you want Charter change? If 12 percent of voters, or 8 million, say yes, the Comelec is asked to ratify the results, and the House then proceeds to amend the Constituti­on.

Of course, the Senate is saying “No, you cannot do that.” So the Upper House conducts an investigat­ion. In response, the Comelec decides to suspend the signature campaign. Actually, there is no more need for gathering more signatures. The 12 percent of total voters (8 million) has been reached; so is the three percent of voters’ consent in every district. So stopping the signature campaign is like sending fire trucks after the fire is gone.

Meanwhile, President Marcos Jr. will have a chance to explain his views on the Constituti­on, Charter change, the economic outlook and perhaps the drugs situation on Feb. 8, 2024, during Constituti­on Day, with the theme, “The Constituti­on, Ang Bagong Pilipinas,” under the auspices of the Philippine Constituti­on Associatio­n (Philconsa) and the Manila Overseas Press Club (MOPC).

The milestone event is now set for early dinner, 5:30 p.m.

For bookings for the by-invitation Constituti­on Day, please contact MOPC 0920-204-9229, or email biznewsasi­a@gmail.com

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