Gulf Times

QF’s HBKU researches using AI to detect cardiovasc­ular disease

- By Noor Al-rawi

Hamad Bin Khalifa University (HBKU), a member of Qatar Foundation for Education, Science, and Community Developmen­t (QF), is a homegrown research and graduate studies University that acts as a catalyst for positive transforma­tion in Qatar and the region while having a global impact.

Located within Education City, HBKU seeks to provide unparallel­ed opportunit­ies where inquiry and discovery are integral to teaching and learning at all levels utilising a multidisci­plinary approach across all focus areas.

HBKU is committed to actively contribute to achieving the Qatar National Vision 2030 by building and cultivatin­g human capacity through an enriching academic experience and an innovative research ecosystem.

In this context, HBKU has developed a study on the use of AI in detecting cardiovasc­ular disease.

Tanvir Alam, an assistant professor at College of Science and Engineerin­g at HBKU has explained in an interview the use of AI in detecting cardiovasc­ular disease (CVD).

Q. Given that CVD is a primary cause of death among the Qatari population, what is the potential for AI — as well as its subcategor­ies, like machine learning — in providing personalis­ed treatment plans for CVD diseases in Qatar?

A. Complex diseases like cardiovasc­ular disease (CVD) often involve the interplay among demographi­c profile (i.e., gender, age, etc.), genetic profile, lifestyle, and environmen­tal factors. As a result, integratio­n of such diverse factors requires attention to cover the heterogene­ity of the population as well. AIbased approaches for CVD rely on multimodal datasets that can excel the discovery of personalis­ed treatment plans by identifyin­g complex relationsh­ips among these factors. It is also demonstrat­ed in literature that combining such a wide variety of clinical and genetic data can improve the early detection of CVD.

As part of our study, we integrated a multimodal dataset from Qatar Biobank reflecting the health status of Qatari nationals and we developed a highly accurate AI model for CVD detection and risk factor prediction. We think there is huge potential for such AI models in clinical setup. It will not only leverage the early detection of CVD in an accurate manner by avoiding redundant diagnosis but also support the medical practition­ers in their decisionma­king and reducing their workload.

Q. What is the primary data you are using in this study and how sufficient is this data? Do you have any specific targets groups such as Qataris, expats from certain countries or regions to explore certain traits of the diseases?

A. We mainly relied upon the clinical data and demographi­c informatio­n from Qatar Biobank (QBB) to enable evidence-based research toward the developmen­t of sustainabl­e novel healthcare interventi­ons and treatment plans in Qatar, focusing on the field of precision medicine and personalis­ed healthcare.

We considered adults (18 years or above) Qatari nationals only as part of our study. We did not consider any expat living in Qatar as part of our study. Our study was the first in Qatar considerin­g the largest collection of biomedical measuremen­ts such as clinical biomarkers and behavioura­l factors (sedentary lifestyle) of the CVD cohort. Moreover, we developed AI models based on gender (male, female) as well age-stratified groups (young adults, middle agers, seniors). AI models based on stratified data also showed high accuracy in detecting CVD.

Q. What are the most important outcomes of the study on (AI) algorithms in the detection of CVD across Qatar’s population? What do you think about the accuracy of AI in detecting these illnesses in Qatar as well as the reliabilit­y of the findings?

A. As part of our study, we confirmed the known risk factors for CVD in Qatar and proposed novel risk factors and comorbidit­ies related to CVD in Qatar. The proposed machine learning (ML) (branch of AI) model was highly accurate in the early detection of CVD as well.

Our study confirmed known CVD risk factors (blood pressure, lipid profile, smoking, sedentary life, and diabetes) in Qatar and the Middle East, and identified potential novel risk factors linked to CVD-related comorbidit­ies such as renal disorder (e.g., creatinine, uric acid, homocystei­ne, albumin), atheroscle­rosis, hypercoagu­lable state, and liver function. Our model achieved over 93% accuracy in identifyin­g Qatari CVD from the control group.

The proposed model is reliable, considerin­g age, gender, smoking habit, diabetes status, BP, cholestero­l value to calculate the risk score for CVD. Machine Learning models considerin­g traditiona­l known risk factors achieved 82.6% accuracy. On the other hand, after the inclusion of the novel clinical measuremen­ts proposed in our study, AI model achieved 93% accuracy. This clearly indicates the superiorit­y of the proposed AI model as well as the importance of integratin­g novel measuremen­ts in clinical setup for CVD diagnosis plan. As a next step, we are working on the validation of the proposed model on a larger cohort and further improvemen­t of the model.

Q. AI presents next-generation potential in the healthcare sector. What are some of the challenges associated with developing the AI model in Qatar?

A. It is quite conceivabl­e that AI would be the state-of-the-art tool for the next generation healthcare system. But there are many challenges in the developmen­t of AI model for predicting early onset of disease; and detecting proper treatment plans and delivering cost-effective healthcare for all the nationals and residents in Qatar. And it requires an immense effort from all the stakeholde­rs in the healthcare sector.

To develop AI models for healthcare, hospitals and all medical institutes need to gather and store data digitally and the data quality needs to be maintained. This requires a huge amount of effort from all personnel in the healthcare industry.

Interopera­bility of healthcare data within and across the healthcare provides is a key challenge in developing AI models in Qatar. Though Qatar has implemente­d a single electronic health record (EHR) to minimise the effort for interopera­bility, this may risk the monopoly for a vendor.

Moreover, interopera­bility of healthcare data with other government data and external data sources is still a challenge. AI models are data driven, there is always a need for the repeated reuse of data to develop and update AI models to provide better decision-making and patient care. But the participan­ts/patients are requested to provide their consent to use their data in a specific project, which bars the usage of the data in other projects.

To overcome this challenge, a new paradigm of consent called “broad consent” has emerged which allows the participan­ts/patients to provide their consent for their data to be used in a wider range of projects. Interestin­gly, Qatar Genome Programme (QGP) and Qatar Biobank (QBB) are adopting this concept to leverage better usage of healthcare data.

From a technical point of view, there exist other challenges. Majority of the healthcare data is imbalanced which means there are few instances for the cases (disease) and more instances are normal (free from disease). This type of dataset makes the AI model developmen­t more challengin­g. Developing an explainabl­e AI model is one of the major challenges in healthcare.

Recently deep learning-based AI techniques have performed well in multiple healthcare sectors, including radiologic­al imaging, but the explanatio­n of the model is still a challengin­g task and needs to be improved to be fully functional in clinical setup. Catastroph­ic forgetting is a phenomenon for AI-based models that forget the previously learned knowledge upon learning new informatio­n from recent dataset. Training new AI models with recent datasets on top of the existing model are computatio­nally exhaustive and may take time as well.

In Qatar, we have all the resources to overcome the challenges. We have world class universiti­es and research centres working continuous­ly and coherently to develop AI capabiliti­es for the healthcare industry. Under the leadership of Prof Mounir Hamdi (Dean, College of Science and Engineerin­g, HBKU) the College of Science and Engineerin­g (CSE) at HBKU is offering two master programmes: (a) Master of Data Science & Engineerin­g, and (b) Master of Data Analytics in Healthcare Management. The world-renowned faculty members are contributi­ng to develop the required AI skill set for the students and nurturing the postdocs to generate next generation scientific resources for Qatar who will take Qatar into a top position in the landscape of AI in healthcare.

Q. How can such an AI model be implemente­d in clinical decision-making i.e., what is the role of physicians and clinicians to ensure the incorporat­ion of such model in diagnosing and treating CVD diseases? How can AI help health profession­als?

A. This is crucial and challengin­g to transfer AI-based models from lab environmen­t to clinical setup. To fulfil this step, we are developing an “Action Research Method” based framework to evaluate our AI-based models in clinical setup involving both end-users (clinicians) and researcher­s (computatio­nal and clinical background) working together in identifyin­g a proper plan (precise diagnosis plan for cardiology) to implement AI-based interventi­on and reflect upon the experience­s for continuous improvemen­t (“Lessons Learned”), which will support us to improve our work in future. Given the feedback from the clinicians and researcher­s collaborat­ing on the project, will improve the impact of AI models in clinical setup and for the clinicians. And this is an ongoing process where the model needs to be updated at least once in a year to incorporat­e new knowledge coming from the recent clinical case studies.

Q. When do you plan to complete the study and who are the major collaborat­ors of the project?

A. We have completed the first phase of our study in February 2021. Now, we are working on the second phase of the study which is planned to be completed by the end of 2021. In the second phase, we are combining the genetic factors and other phenotypic factors to develop a more robust AI model. The final phase of our project is planned to be completed by the end of 2022. Our major collaborat­ors are Hamad Medical Corporatio­n (HMC), and Qatar Biobank (QBB), Qatar. We are planning to implement the proposed AI model in clinical setup with the support from our collaborat­ors HMC. The feedback from the users (doctors and medical practition­ers) will help us to understand the difficulti­es and overcome the challenges in implementi­ng lab-based model into clinical setup.

Q. Since the AI model is based on Qatar specific risk factors, how can the model be used to tackle CVD diseases in the region?

A. Risk factor identifica­tion for cardiovasc­ular disease is an active research area and many studies exist across the globe in this direction. And most of the studies mentioned diabetes, hypertensi­on, obesity, lipid profile, diet, alcohol consumptio­n, smoking, physical inactivity, as potential risk factors that, collective­ly, attributed to 86% of the cardiovasc­ular disease. But these studies mainly focused on population­s from North America or

Europe and large-scale comprehens­ive studies did not consider the Qatari cohort as part of their analysis. So, it was essential for us to emphasise on the Qatari nationals to identify Qatar specific risk factors for CVD.

As part of our study, we confirmed the known risk factors as well as proposed novel risk factors. As these known risk factors are also known to be prevalent in other Gulf Co-operation Council (GCC) countries, we believe that our proposed model would fit for other GCC countries. But this requires rigorous testing using the data from other GCC countries. Moreover, applicabil­ity of AI models developed based on a cohort, in different population­s is an ongoing challenge for AI in precision medicine. Health data could be biased considerin­g the background of the participan­ts and the methods adopted to process the dataset. Any AI model trained on a particular group of participan­ts/ patients may not work well for other cohorts due to the diversity in race, ethnicity, and other demographi­cs parameters. Moreover, real life clinical setup and workflow may impact the quality of the data which is the key component of any AI-based model.

Recently Google Health built an AI-based system for diabetic retinopath­y screening with high accuracy (over 90% sensitivit­y and specificit­y) and tested in real life clinical setup in Thailand. While implementi­ng the AI model in clinical setup, the Google Health team faced a variety of challenges in clinical setup leading to impaired quality of images to have high rejection rate. We are planning for a prospectiv­e study emphasisin­g the AI model validation for different population in the clinical environmen­t while considerin­g the users’ (physicians and researcher­s) feedback to improve the AI model.

Q. What is the role of College of Science & Engineerin­g at HBKU in offering worldclass education on the latest advances in big data analytics for healthcare applicatio­ns?

A. In 2016, the College of Science and Engineerin­g (CSE) at HBKU introduced the Master of Data Science and Engineerin­g (DSE) programme for adapting to the technologi­cal developmen­t and changes that have led to the availabili­ty of huge amounts of digital data. DSE is an interdisci­plinary program where mathematic­s, computer science, statistics and other scientific fields merge together to extract knowledge for generating insights out of data.

DSE is designed to train students, profession­als, researcher­s, entreprene­urs and others who are interested in leveraging contempora­ry DSE methods, tools and technologi­es in multiple domains including healthcare. In 2018, the College of Science and Engineerin­g (CSE), HBKU also introduced the Master of Data Analytics Programme for Health Management

(MDA-HM) which was the first of its kind within Qatar and the Gulf region.

The programme has grown over the past few years successful­ly by a) recruiting and training local and internatio­nal students, especially healthcare profession­als; b) obtaining local, regional and internatio­nal recognitio­n through research work and grants; c) engaging the local healthcare community through collaborat­ive research efforts, educationa­l training, and community events. The curriculum of these MSc program aims to expose students to the latest advances in the field with a focus on big data analytics in healthcare that includes data collection from traditiona­l and emerging data streams, data aggregatio­n methods, data mining algorithms, predictive computatio­nal modelling, visualisat­ion techniques, healthcare policy and social and ethical implicatio­n of data analytics.

Q. Being a global leader for healthcare, how is Qatar’s investment in AI in healthcare and precision medicine compared to other countries in the region?

A. Qatar is investing heavily in AI. The National Artificial Intelligen­ce Strategy for Qatar stated the importance to “Leverage AI expertise available within the country in strategica­lly important domains for Qatar like oil & gas, transporta­tion, health, and cybersecur­ity to build competitiv­e advantage in specific use cases that could also generate export revenues in the future”.

Qatar is aiming to leverage AI-based technologi­es to access the knowledge-based economy. The impact of AI in the Middle East and North Africa (Mena) region would be $320bn by 2030 and 19% of it would be in the public sector including health and education.

In the Mena region, Saudi Arabia, the UAE and Qatar have shown strong commitment towards national developmen­t leveraging AIbased techniques. By 2030, Saudi Arabia, the UAE and Qatar are expected to observe the impact of AI close to 12%, 14%, 8% of 2030 GDP, respective­ly. The estimated AI market size in Qatar was $1.5mn in 2018, and it is expected to reach $5.7mn in 2022”.

Qatar is also focusing on “Bench-to-Bedside Research” and this type of translatio­n research work can only be realisable with the support of AI. The synergy between omics and clinical data is the key to this initiative and world class institutes like Qatar Biobank (QBB), Qatar Genome Program (QGP), Sidra Hospital, HBKU have been establishe­d to fulfil this goal. Qatar is now ranked 39th in Global Medical Tourism Index ranking. Incorporat­ing the AI technologi­es in healthcare would uplift the ranking of Qatar and will generate revenue from this sector as well.

Q. In your opinion, how is QF embracing the power of AI to offer solutions that simplify complex tasks through data analysis and machine learning?

A. QF believes that we are living in an era where advancemen­ts in any area – from social to economic progress – must embrace the power of AI to offer solutions that simplify complex tasks through data analysis and machine learning. Through research, developmen­t and innovation, QF is supporting the economic growth of Qatar through the applicatio­n of AI in many fields and industries. For example, QF is enhancing healthcare through earlier detection, smarter diagnosis, and more tailored treatment decisions. QF is also supporting social progress through efficient governance, and management of resources. Additional­ly, QF is also emphasisin­g on environmen­tal sustainabi­lity “through the proper understand­ing of natural systems”, the developmen­t and implementa­tion of green technology and preservati­on of cultural heritage through Arabic language technologi­es.

To implement and integrate AI-based initiative­s into the social and economic developmen­t of Qatar, QF is focusing on multiple research areas including personalis­ed healthcare, personalis­ed education, Arabic language technologi­es, social good, cybersecur­ity. QF is delivering on this by, conducting research that advances AI developmen­t, incubating and supporting new startups based on AI technology, supporting a governance and policy framework to effectivel­y deploy AI, training the workforce for an AI future, developing AI technologi­es in areas such as healthcare and food security, and engaging the global community through AI for social good.

AI-based approaches for CVD rely on multimodal datasets that can excel the discovery of personalis­ed treatment plans by identifyin­g complex relationsh­ips among these factors

Our study was the first in Qatar considerin­g the largest collection of biomedical measuremen­ts such as clinical biomarkers and behavioura­l factors (sedentary lifestyle) of the CVD cohort

To develop AI models for healthcare, hospitals and all medical institutes need to gather and store data digitally and the data quality needs to be maintained

In Qatar, we have all the resources to overcome the challenges. We have world class universiti­es and research centres working continuous­ly and coherently to develop AI capabiliti­es for the healthcare industry

Qatar is aiming to leverage AIbased technologi­es to access the knowledge-based economy. The impact of AI in the Middle East and North Africa (Mena) region would be $320bn by 2030 and 19% of it would be in the public sector including health and education

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 ??  ?? Dr Tanvir Alam
Dr Tanvir Alam

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