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Merkel’s party faces election dry run in bellwether state

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HALTERN AM SEE: Germany’s most populous state goes to the polls on Sunday, with Chancellor Angela Merkel’s party aiming to extend a winning streak that could seriously damage her rival before national elections.

One in five German voters — 13.1 million — will cast ballots in North Rhine-Westphalia, a sprawling industrial region with a big migrant population which has been a Social Democratic Party (SPD) stronghold for 17 years.

But surveys show the center-left party running neck and neck with Merkel’s Christian Democratic Union (CDU), adding to indication­s that initial enthusiasm for new SPD leader and challenger Martin Schulz could be fizzling out.

The SPD had been ailing nationwide but saw a surge in support in February when Schulz took over. That, however, failed to translate into votes in the last two state elections, when the SPD took a hammering and the CDU won comfortabl­y.

“In a region where the SPD should be leading the CDU by 10 points, even if we tied with the party, it would already be a clear signal before the general elections, showing that the Schulz effect is over,” said Wolfgang Partfoerde­r, 67, a former CDU mayor.

Nationwide, the SPD is also struggling to close the gap, polling says. The party is now banking its hopes on incumbent NRW state premier Hannelore Kraft, 55.

“If Kraft succeeds, then the chances of the SPD’s bid to take back the chanceller­y grow. If she loses, it would mean that the Schulz train has slammed against a wall,” said Spiegel weekly.

Political analyst Oskar Niedermaye­r also noted NRW’s significan­ce to the SPD, saying “a defeat there would be a disastrous symbol” for the party.

With much at stake four months before national elections, both Merkel and Schulz are pounding the streets in NRW where 18 million people live, including 4.2 million of migrant origin.

Speaking in the town of Haltern am See, Merkel urged voters to look at her government’s economic record, noting that NRW, with 7.5 percent unemployme­nt, lags behind national rate of 5.8 percent.

“Through intelligen­t policies and solid finances, and by doubling our investment­s in research, we have managed to reduce the number of jobless people to half that in 2005 when I became chancellor,” she said, campaignin­g for CDU candidate Armin Laschet.

Mindful that local issues can tip the balance in regional elections, Merkel has also criticized the incumbents for “persistent traffic jams... costing commuters in NRW time that they could well use in other ways.”

Schulz joins Kraft on Thursday in Leverkusen, Aachen and his hometown Wuerselen.

But even a win may not suffice for the SPD, as the score would be measured against its 2012 polling of 39.1 percent. The CDU at that time clinched just over 26 percent.

SPD supporter Guenter Kadelka, 63, said he still hopes his party will prevail, even though “the Schulz surge has faded. We don’t hear about it anymore.”

 ??  ?? German Chancellor Angela Merkel and CDU top candidate Armin Laschet wave at an election rally in Haltern am See, western Germany on Wednesday. (AFP)
German Chancellor Angela Merkel and CDU top candidate Armin Laschet wave at an election rally in Haltern am See, western Germany on Wednesday. (AFP)

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