Economists in Iraq raise questions over rebuilding loans
BAGHDAD: The multi-billion loans and credits offered to Iraq at an international donors conference in Kuwait have raised dozens of questions about what the government will offer in return.
It has also reinforced concerns in Baghdad about the encumbrance of Iraqi monetary policy with the policies of the International Monetary Fund and the World Bank.
Iraq has estimated the cost of damage caused by Daesh and the three year war against the militants at $88 billion. Some $23 billion is urgently needed to clean the minecontaminated areas, provide the daily basic services for the affected areas and bring 2.3 million displaced people back to their homes.
In coordination with the United Nations and the International Monetary Fund, Iraq this week held an international conference for reconstruction hosted by Kuwait. The conference, which was attended by more than 2,000 local and international companies from 70 countries, has made Iraq about $30 billion, mostly in sovereign loans.
But the lack of clarity about the loans has opened the door for critics of Iraqi prime minister Haider Abadi.
Abadi said yesterday that Iraq would start next month its negotiations with the countries who had offered the financial assistance.
He said international companies looking to invest in Iraq and local financial institutions would follow the required-facilities that the government has to provide to the companies to start these investment projects.
“No loans will be accepted but within the limits of the (annual Iraqi) budget,” Abadi said. “We are very cautious when it comes to the loans…we have not taken these loans, (as) we are looking for the loans that lead to development, create jobs and add value to the country.”
Prof. Salam Samisem, who specializes in finance and economics, told Arab News that the conference had failed “because it openly showed that the international society does not trust the Iraqi government due to the corruption and the inappropriate environment for investment in Iraq.”
“The government needs the US and other countries to provide credit loans for the international companies to convince them to come and work in Iraq.
“Loans mean interests, guarantees and time tables. How will the government achieve the conditions of the International Monetary Fund and the World Bank? What will the government offer as collateral? What are the benefits and conditions? These all are questions that Abadi must answer before agreeing to accept these loans,” Samisem said.
The dominance of political, sectarian and ethnic quotas on the legislative and executive authorities in Iraq, the absence of legal accountability and weak laws of integrity, means Iraq has been one of the most corrupt countries since 2003.
The investment environment in Iraq is considered hostile for international companies due to the unstable security and political situation and the lack of guarantees necessary to protect the rights of investors, which requires the intervention of the United States as guarantor instead of the Iraqi government, economists told Arab News.
“Investment in mega projects such as infrastructure projects need an integrated tax system and a regular legal collection process. This is not currently available in Iraq and will not be achieved soon,” a senior Iraqi economist told Arab News.
“Abadi has not done his homework before going to the conference. He has not modified the law of Investment in Iraq or limit the corruption rampant in all the governmental departments or provide any guarantees that the investors will be protected and no political or armed hands will reach them.”
Specialists contacted by Arab News said that if Iraq accepted these loans, this would mean that Iraqi monetary policy would be hostage to the policies of the World Bank and the International Monetary Fund.