Arab News

Ravages of global warming must top regional agenda

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The Middle East could be one of the regions that is worst affected by climate change, as mounting evidence underlines what is now an undisputed scientific fact. In recent years, acute weather conditions have been observed in the Arabian Gulf, Iraq, the Levant and North Africa. From erratic storms to record-breaking temperatur­es, the region is showing troubling signs that global warming is already affecting the livelihood of tens of millions of people.

The Middle East is not excluded as hurricanes, droughts, wildfires, floods and rising sea levels ravage many parts of the world.

Last week, 13 US federal agencies published a disturbing report on the effects of climate change on America over the coming few decades. “Earth’s climate is now changing faster than at any point in the history of modern civilizati­on, primarily as a result of human activities,” the report stated. It added that the last few years have smashed records for damaging weather in the US, costing nearly $400 billion since 2015.

In a worst-case scenario, the researcher­s say climate change could deliver a 10 percent hit to America’s gross domestic product by the end of the century.

Wael Hmaidan, who heads the Climate Action Network — an umbrella group representi­ng more than 1,700 non-government­al organizati­ons — recently stated that the Middle East is likely to be among the worst-hit regions in the world as a result of global warming.

He pointed out that, in countries like

Iraq, temperatur­es had reached close to 60 degrees this summer, bringing life to a halt.

The effects of global warming can be seen in acute weather conditions that hit most Gulf countries, northern Saudi Arabia, Jordan and Lebanon in the past few weeks. Flash floods have claimed the lives of tens of people in Iraq and Jordan.

A study by the Economist magazine in May underlined the fact that apathy toward climate change is common across the Middle East and North Africa, even as the problems associated with it get worse. It quoted Germany’s Institute for Chemistry as saying that summer temperatur­es in the region will rise more than twice as fast as the global average.

A study published in Nature magazine earlier this year predicted that, by 2100, “wet-bulb temperatur­es” — a measure of humidity and heat — could rise so high in the Gulf as to make it all but uninhabita­ble.

A 400-page report by the UN, published in October, concluded that Earth’s surface has warmed 1 degree Celsius — enough to lift oceans and unleash a crescendo of deadly storms, floods and droughts — and is on track toward an unlivable 3 C or 4 C rise. To have at least a 50/50 chance of staying under the

1.5 C cap without overshooti­ng the mark, the world must, by 2050, become “carbon neutral,” according to the report.

A report published by the UN Developmen­t Program (UNDP) in July pointed out that the causes of crises, food insecurity, malnutriti­on and vulnerabil­ity to climate change impacts are deeply interlinke­d and require multifacet­ed responses.

It added that the Arab region is home to rising levels of conflict and the world’s largest population of refugees and displaced people. In addition, it is a region plagued by rising malnutriti­on rates, water scarcity, frequent droughts, desertific­ation and over-exploitati­on of natural resources.

The UNDP has begun work with regional government­s to improve natural resource governance and management, while balancing socioecono­mic needs and environmen­tal protection.

But, as the region continues to suffer from political instabilit­y, economic disparitie­s, civil wars, terrorism and other challenges, there is little effort being made to cope with and respond to environmen­tal threats.

Some government­s have launched localized programs to incentiviz­e the use of renewable energy, combat pollution and create green belts around urban areas, but such efforts are not enough.

It is only through collective regional cooperatio­n that serious attempts at dealing with the devastatin­g effects of climate change can have a lasting impact. Such regional cooperatio­n is missing and entire ecosystems are now being threatened.

The irony is that no single country, no matter how rich and independen­t, can escape the ravages of global warming. The Paris Agreement on combating global warming was a major step in the right direction, but the US withdrawal last year signaled a serious setback.

It goes without saying that environmen­tal awareness does not feature in the current regional discourse. And, while scientists warn us that time is not on our side and that no country is immune from the effects of global warming, pundits and politician­s in this part of the world fail to comprehend the seriousnes­s of the environmen­tal challenge.

Perhaps if and when such awareness finally sinks in, regional leaders will come to realize that they need to set their difference­s aside and work together to overcome an impending catastroph­e that no country can face on its own.

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