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The real problem is the absence of hope among Palestinia­ns

- SIR JOHN JENKINS

It is a disturbing film clip, taken on a mobile phone, young protesters running down a darkened street, illuminate­d by the flames of burning buildings, shouts, screams, gunfire in the background. No, it was not last Monday in Jerusalem, Lod, Jaffa or Gaza. It was Karbala, in central Iraq, on Sunday. The protests had been sparked by the latest assassinat­ion of a young activist by shadowy gunmen, almost certainly backed by Iran. The protesters wanted what they have always wanted: Freedom from fear, freedom from Tehran’s baleful influence, freedom to live their lives in dignity and hope. They set fire to the Iranian Consulate, shouted their slogans and ran for their lives.

This is not meant to diminish the impact of what is happening in Israel and the occupied Palestinia­n territorie­s. It is simply to provide some context. Violence — from states, their clients, militias and other ideologica­lly motivated psychopath­s — is endemic in much of the region. The difference between what Israel (say) and Iran, Hezbollah or Asa’ib Ahl Al-Haq do is that one responds to actual or imagined threats with the full force of a mobilised state: The others work in the shadows, through bribery, intimidati­on, assassinat­ion. When yet another activist is shot in the head, when protesters are picked off by snipers, when Yazidis, Assyrian Christians and Sunni or Kurdish villagers are displaced from their ancestral homes to make way for those whom Iran and its friends prefer — the world looks away. The nearest parallel perhaps to what is happening is the protracted and bloody campaign by the Assad regime against its own people, backed by Russian airpower and Iranian auxiliarie­s. That has now lasted 10 years, not 10 days. But the atrocities of Da’esh, the barrage of propaganda coming out of Damascus, Moscow and Tehran, brutal restrictio­ns on proper reporting and the sheer complexity of the situation have exhausted people’s attention span.

I lived in Sheikh Jarrah for four years. It is not a big place, sitting to the east of the old Mandelbaum Gate, to the north of Wadi Al-Joz and to the south of French Hill — the site of the first post-June 1967 Israeli settlement. To the northeast stands Mount Scopus, where besiegers of Jerusalem such as Titus, the future Roman emperor, or Abu Ubaidah pitched their siege camps. Today the Hebrew University, that monument to both the liberal hopes of the 1920s and the savage battles of 1948 and 1967, looms over the city.

If you walk down and then up the hill past the elegant mansions built a century ago by the notable families of Jerusalem, you will come to the American Colony Hotel, the so-called Tombs of the Kings and St George’s Cathedral and School, that educator of the old Palestinia­n elite. You will come to Salahuddin Street, the main shopping artery of East Jerusalem which leads past the tranquil Ecole Biblique to the Damascus Gate. Stand at the gate and look to your left and some meters below you will see the old Roman street that once stood there. Go through the gate and you will find yourself lost in the souqs and winding alleys of the Old City. There are beautiful Ayyubid, Mamluk and Ottoman khans, madrasas, and mosques, Armenian, Syriac, Orthodox and Crusader churches. You will pass groups of Muslim clerics, Jewish Haredim, nuns and priests, tour parties walking the Via Dolorosa, worshipper­s heading for Al-Aqsa. If you look carefully under the great stone arches you will see the marks left by the medieval masons, proud of their craft and — like builders throughout the ages — keen to let you know it. You will pass gradually and then suddenly from the Muslim to the Jewish to the Armenian to the Christian quarter. And you may find yourself at the Jaffa Gate, crassly widened to accommodat­e the visit of Kaiser Wilhelm II in 1898, and now another contested communal space. Outside lies the Mamilla complex, controvers­ially built on the site of a Byzantine church, a medieval cemetery and a Mamluk mausoleum.

Muslims, Jews and Christians, Israelis, Palestinia­ns, Armenians, Greek Orthodox and many others all believe they own a part of the soul of the city. That has led to conflict in the past.

And here we are again. Each time is the same. Each time is different. This time the sparks were heavy-handed Israeli police action, rightwing Jewish nationalis­t parades through the Old City on Jerusalem Day and the prospect of new Palestinia­n evictions in Sheikh Jarrah, cheered on by Israeli provocateu­rs.

These grievances are real. By and large Palestinia­ns cannot get building permits in Jerusalem nor reclaim confiscate­d property. Israeli Jews can do both. Young Palestinia­ns resent being corralled at the Damascus Gate in Ramadan because it is a visceral reminder of their second-class status in the heart of their most important city. And harsh policing of worshipper­s in Al-Aqsa is asking for trouble, as it did in July 2000. Distrust runs too deep for words.

But the real problem is the absence of hope. Too many ordinary Palestinia­ns feel abandoned. They are denied political agency. The Palestinia­n Authority no longer represents their interests. Elections, which could have offered some relief, were canceled last month at short notice on a transparen­tly flimsy excuse.

Anyone who thought that the future of the Palestinia­ns no longer mattered has been disabused. It is true that the Palestinia­n issue has ceased to be the dominant issue for most people in the region. Jobs, security, dignity, the battle against extremism, the constructi­on of an efficient and equitable state all matter far more. But it still matters. Like it or not, and irrespecti­ve of the individual­s involved, it has a unique power to rouse emotion and mobilize opinion. And without a political settlement that gives Palestinia­ns real control over their own destiny the conflict will never end. It will continue to cause massive human suffering. The last two decades have fostered dangerous delusions: That the Palestinia­ns would simply go quietly into history’s long night, that Hamas is part of the answer, that the old men of Fatah represent their community, that Iran can be tamed and that Israel could normalize relations around the region and everything would be fine. We should rediscover our collective will to find a solution that serves justice as well as security. Will we?

The last two decades have fostered a dangerous delusion that the Palestinia­ns would simply go quietly into history’s long night

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 ?? For full version, log on to ?? Sir John Jenkins is a senior fellow at Policy Exchange. Until December 2017, he was Correspond­ing Director (Middle East) at the Internatio­nal Institute for Strategic Studies (IISS), based in Manama, Bahrain, and was a Senior Fellow at Yale University’s Jackson Institute for Global Affairs. He was the British ambassador to Saudi Arabia
until January 2015.
www.arabnews.com/opinion
For full version, log on to Sir John Jenkins is a senior fellow at Policy Exchange. Until December 2017, he was Correspond­ing Director (Middle East) at the Internatio­nal Institute for Strategic Studies (IISS), based in Manama, Bahrain, and was a Senior Fellow at Yale University’s Jackson Institute for Global Affairs. He was the British ambassador to Saudi Arabia until January 2015. www.arabnews.com/opinion
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