Arab News

Trump and the State of the Union

- FAISAL AL-SHAMMERI Faisal Al-Shammeri is a political analyst. X: @Mr_Alshammeri For full version, log on to www.arabnews.com/thespace

The American media’s account of President Joe Biden’s State of the Union speech is that he attempted to contrast himself against his rival, former president Donald Trump, and project himself as the candidate of the middle class. However, it was evident to millions of people that Biden’s success in getting reelected in November 2024 depends on his opponent’s fate, especially considerin­g the mounting legal and political problems Trump still faces in the American court system.

Biden faces significan­t challenges in securing a second term in the White House. Recent public opinion polls suggest that he is trailing Trump by a few points, even in crucial swing-vote states essential for winning a second term. About 73 percent of the American people express concerns about his age. Biden does not have a smooth path to the White House for a second term. His State of the Union address followed many important developmen­ts in American politics. First, the US Supreme Court decided to reinstate Trump’s name on the electoral ballot in the State of Colorado. The implicatio­n of this decision is that no court or executive authority can prevent Trump from appearing on the ballot in any state, county or administra­tive entity in the US. In other words, Trump has the right to run for office and take part in elections, a right that cannot be denied to him. Biden did not address this critical matter in the 2024 presidenti­al race.

Even more confusing was Vice President

Kamala Harris’ call for a ceasefire in Gaza. Soon after, officials from the Biden administra­tion diluted Harris’ remarks, asserting that her call was aimed at persuading Hamas to disarm and release the Israeli hostages taken captive on Oct. 7, 2023. Undoubtedl­y, Biden was critical of Trump. Though he did not mention his name, he consistent­ly referred to him as “my predecesso­r” throughout the speech. Biden portrayed him as someone “bowing down” to Russian President

Vladimir Putin, labeling such behavior as “outrageous, dangerous and unacceptab­le.” During his speech, Biden advocated for providing Ukraine with financial support and arms in its war against Russia, a stark contrast to Trump’s pro-Moscow stance. Biden said: “You can’t love your country only when you win.” He accused Trump of mishandlin­g the fight against the COVID-19 pandemic, saying: “My predecesso­r failed in the most basic presidenti­al duty owed to the American people: the duty to care.”

Without directly naming Trump, Biden said: “The former president has bragged about appointing Supreme Court justices who overturned the 1973 Roe v. Wade decision.” Overall, Biden portrayed Republican­s and Trump as working against the freedom of the American people, asking: “My God, what freedoms will you take away next?”

So far, Biden’s rhetoric has had little impact on preventing Trump from winning the Republican

Party primaries and securing the nomination for the presidenti­al office. However, Trump faces a substantia­l list of legal challenges that could potentiall­y lead to his imprisonme­nt.

Trump has said that all the legal problems implicatin­g him are fabricatio­ns by the US Department of

Justice. He consistent­ly refers to the cases as politicall­y motivated, asserting that they reflect only a narrow interpreta­tion of the US Constituti­on and law in America. He has even described federal prosecutor­s as having a personal vendetta against him.

Strangely, these accusation­s have made Trump even more popular. Polls indicate that 66 percent of Republican­s support him in his defense against these charges. Surprising­ly, even 30 percent of Democrats feel that Trump is being prosecuted unfairly. These high percentage­s reflect strong support for Trump.

The fate of American politics rests on judicial authoritie­s and their judgments.

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