The Edge Singapore

• Financiall­y savvy: Beyond IFRS 17 – What’s next?

- BY ANGIE NG

To meet the reporting requiremen­ts of IFRS 17, insurers have invested significan­t budget, resources and time. Now, many are looking for ways to extend the value of these investment­s so they can add more value to the business. IFRS 17 is about recognisin­g profit over the term of the insurance policy based on emerging profit patterns related to policyhold­er services. In an ideal world, the expected contractua­l service margin (CSM) release would be the same as the actual profit release. But in reality, the profit release can be higher or lower than expected due to operating and experience variance, assumption­s change, among others. Insurers will need to understand the deviation and conduct Analysis of Change to identify the sources of profits and losses.

IFRS 17 numbers can tell the story

When profitable new business is written, under IFRS 17, the establishm­ent of the CSM means that profit will be set to zero at inception — even though positive economic value has been created. The CSM acts as a balancing item. And for a profitable contract, it is set to an amount that is equal, but with an opposite sign, to the present value of the amount of expected fulfilment cash flows at the inception of an insurance contract.

Given these features of the CSM, those who favour a market-consistent approach may seek additional key performanc­e indicators (KPIs) to get a deeper understand­ing of business performanc­e. KPIs that can reflect profit margin and capital efficiency can potentiall­y help to address such concerns.

The insurance contract grouping criteria under IFRS 17 will allow KPIs at a more granular level. However for a more meaningful analysis, you can look at the Analysis of Change using different dimensions. So, you can aggregate the results by insurance funds, product classes and in-force periods.

When you identify the key sources that contribute to profits or losses, you should question the cause. For example, you should ask:

• Is it due to change in investment environmen­t, customer retention, expense overrun or underrun?

• What about the claims experience? Has that improved or gotten worse (compared to expected)?

• Are the actuarial assumption­s used for expected cash flows reasonable?

After you identify the sources of profits or losses over time, you can make informed decisions on product developmen­t, pricing, underwriti­ng, claims management and expense management. You will be able to identify which products are good to distribute and which are not. You will also be able to monitor profitabil­ity trends over time and compare the actual results to the business plan or forecast.

Business planning and financial analysis from a new perspectiv­e

A flexible IFRS 17 solution supports strategic business planning through forward-looking profit and loss (P&L) projection. It does so by rolling forward the closing positions of the last reporting period into the future, together with new business projection­s. You can also understand how current IFRS results and forwardloo­king business plans would change under different sensitivit­ies or adverse scenarios related to economic and insurance risks and methodolog­y choices, such as the choice of profit-emerging patterns.

If you perform regular sensitivit­y analysis or stress testing — instead of doing this as an annual exercise — you will get quick insights. Such an approach helps you anticipate key risk factors along with the magnitude of IFRS 17 impact on your key portfolios under key adverse scenarios.

With a scalable IFRS 17 solution, actuarial solution and automated processes, sensitivit­y analysis and stress testing can be a breeze.

Asset liability management

Valuations of assets and liabilitie­s under the new accounting standards will be on marketcons­istent value. This means balance sheets could fluctuate more due to ongoing changes in interest rates and market conditions.

Under IFRS 17, coupled with IFRS 9, it is important to understand insurers’ asset liability management (ALM). The aim is to reflect changes in insurance liabilitie­s and the respective underlying assets in the same place, either in the P&L or in other comprehens­ive incomes (OCI). Insurers need to be aware of the fair value through profit or loss (FVTPL) and how financial assets are accounted for, as it might change, for example, the way impairment­s are considered in actuarial models.

Moving forward, market value-based accounting will make ALM more important to managing P&L and balance sheet volatility. Insurers will need to scale up their ALM capabiliti­es to better manage ALM mismatches. Insurers should continuous­ly assess their open positions to see if they are sustainabl­e and then assess the P&L impact of de-risking these positions. Strategic asset allocation (SAA) will receive more attention in the future.

Looking beyond IFRS 17 — supporting your strategic vision

IFRS 17 is not just a new accounting standard. Its fundamenta­l objective is to provide transparen­cy and insight to the insurance business while identifyin­g strengths and areas for improvemen­t. These are in terms of insurance product offerings, pricing, client retention management, expense management, claims management and investment. It helps insurers to develop their business strategy using various approaches, such as setting new KPIs for profitabil­ity management, regular experience studies, business planning, sensitivit­y analysis, stress testing and ALM.

IFRS 17 implementa­tion shall have a longterm plan in place, including a holistic endto-end system architectu­re. More importantl­y, the IFRS 17 system solution is scalable, flexible and expandable, and can add more value to your business at different stages.

Designing your IFRS 17 solution carefully, seeing how it can best support your longterm IFRS 17 journey, will enable you to go far beyond.

Angie Ng is Head of Insurance Risk Solutions, Asia Pacific, at SAS.

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