Business Day

Ideologica­l fury will not change reality at mines

- Nick Wilson edits Company Comment (wilsonn@bdlive.co.za)

No amount of angry rhetoric from unions or politician­s can alter the fundamenta­l fact underlying AngloGold Ashanti’s decision to stop two mines and cut up to 8,500 jobs in SA.

The outcry from the National Union of Mineworker­s (NUM) in response to the announceme­nt by AngloGold that it is to shut its Kopanang and Savuka mines is entirely understand­able and predictabl­e.

AngloGold says it has kept the two mines on life support while it investigat­ed options to bring down costs, but there comes a time when the ore body is depleted and there is no more reason to keep going.

It’s a tough decision for management to make. It is fully cognisant that 8,500 employees and their families are going to endure a difficult time. Shutting a mine is a big decision that is not taken lightly.

While AngloGold may consider an experience­d and financiall­y sound buyer for Kopanang, which has 500,000oz of gold reserves left, Savuka is too entwined in the embattled TauTona mining operation and will not be considered for sale.

The reality is that South African gold mines are old and not being replaced.

It speaks volumes about the operating environmen­t in SA, where political ideology and increasing costs from parastatal­s have made fresh investment­s here almost impossible.

The NUM should perhaps fire off strongly worded messages to the governing party.

It has been barely a fortnight since deal maker Charles Pettit – formerly the prime mover at Torre Industries and CEO of Stellar Capital Partners – joined the executive team of investment company Sabvest.

But already the cogs are spinning. This week Sabvest announced a restructur­ing of its significan­t minority shareholdi­ng in Torre. This entails selling the 63-million Torre shares held by Sabvest to a special purpose vehicle (SPV) controlled by Pettit in exchange for scrip in the SPV. At the same time, empowermen­t investment company MIC Investment Holdings will swap 66.5-million Torre shares for scrip in Pettit’s SPV. What this means is that Sabvest will control 48.67% of the SPV, which in turn will own 25.18% of Torre.

Torre’s biggest shareholde­r remains Stellar, with a commanding 55.62% stake.

But the SPV’s shareholdi­ng could be seen as a blocking stake, perhaps to preclude from Stellar breaking up and selling off parts of Torre for a song.

Consequent­ly, the formation of the SPV might seem to suggest that at least here significan­t minority shareholde­rs believe a struggling Torre can find growth traction again.

An interestin­g argument raised by ear-to-the-ground analyst Anthony Clark is that Sabvest might covet another of Stellar’s main investment­s. The suggestion is that Sabvest might be interested in buying security technology company Amalgamate­d Electronic Corporatio­n (Amecor) from Stellar. The deal could suit both parties.

As Clark points out, selling Amecor would be an elegant way for Stellar to raise fresh capital to build its financial services hub spearheade­d by Prescient. Amecor, which is consistent­ly profitable, has growing annuity income and is a reassuring cash-flow generator, seems to fit Sabvest’s investment criteria perfectly.

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