Business Day

Gates fears foreign cuts may hit Africa’s AIDS fight

- Tamar Kahn kahnt@businessli­ve.co.za

Potential cuts to foreign aid threaten the world’s chances of ending poverty and eradicatin­g diseases by 2030, with particular­ly dire consequenc­es for Africa’s HIV and AIDS efforts, Bill Gates has warned ahead of the UN General Assembly in New York.

A 10% cut in funding for HIV and AIDS could lead to the death of 5.6-million people by 2030, said the Microsoft founder ahead of Wednesday’s release of a report from his philanthro­pic foundation on how the world is progressin­g towards 18 of the health and poverty-related targets set out in the Sustainabl­e Developmen­t Goals (SDGs).

South African officials are anxiously watching to see whether US President Donald Trump’s proposed budget cuts to foreign aid are passed by the Congress, as such a move could reduce both the bilateral and indirect support that it provides to South African HIV and AIDS programmes. SA is also vulnerable to a reduction in contributi­ons to internatio­nal agencies such as the Global Fund to Fight AIDS, tuberculos­is and malaria.

“The world really did step up … with an incredible level of generosity, which has meant that AIDS-related deaths have fallen by almost half since the peak in 2005. This commitment to get the drugs to be cheaper and get them out to everybody has made a huge difference.

“But … we see countries that are considerin­g possible funding cuts,” Gates said.

Such cuts would be a big setback to Africa, which was poised for a large increase in the number of people aged between 16 and 24, the population most at risk of HIV infections, he said.

Gates said he thought it unlikely that Congress would approve Trump’s proposed cuts, which entail shaving almost $1bn off the US contributi­on to global HIV and AIDS efforts, including a $222m cut to its contributi­on to the Global Fund.

Gates and his wife, Melinda, expressed concern in the report that shifting priorities could lead the world to waver in its commitment­s, risking backslidin­g on the progress made to cut deaths and improve people’s health and wellbeing.

“This report comes at a time when there is more doubt than usual about the world’s commit- ment to developmen­t.... Developmen­t deserves our attention,” they wrote.

The Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation commission­ed the US Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation to project the likely range of outcomes for selected SDG indicators.

It found the world was on the right track regarding combating child mortality: 6-million fewer children died in 2016 than in 1990. If efforts continued at the current pace, the number of children under five who die annually could halve by 2030.

Progress in preventing malaria deaths is less promising unless there are significan­t new innovation­s, it warns.

The Goalkeeper­s Report would be released annually until 2030 to coincide with the UN Special Assembly, to hold world leaders to account on progress towards the SDGs.

THERE IS MORE DOUBT THAN USUAL ABOUT THE WORLD’S COMMITMENT TO DEVELOPMEN­T

 ?? Trevor Samson ?? Unlikely: Microsoft chairman Bill Gates said that the US Congress was unlikely to approve Trump’s proposed aid cuts. /
Trevor Samson Unlikely: Microsoft chairman Bill Gates said that the US Congress was unlikely to approve Trump’s proposed aid cuts. /

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