Business Day

PIC increases stake in PPC

• Increase in stake gives fund manager negative control and puts shareholde­rs in a stalemate over AfriSam tie-up

- Ann Crotty Writer at Large crottya@bdfm.co.za

The Public Investment Corporatio­n (PIC) has increased its stake in PPC to just more than 25%, which means it now has negative control over the country’s largest cement producer and a controllin­g 66% of the second-largest Afrisam. Negative control means the PIC can block any significan­t transactio­ns by the PPC board. Such transactio­ns usually require support from 75% of shareholde­rs.

The Public Investment Corporatio­n (PIC) has increased its stake in PPC to just more than 25%, which means it now has negative control over the country’s largest cement producer and a controllin­g 66% of the secondlarg­est Afrisam.

Negative control means the PIC can block any significan­t transactio­ns the PPC board wants to do. Such transactio­ns usually require support from 75% of shareholde­rs.

This means an effective stalemate situation has arisen as more than 25% of PPC shareholde­rs have indicated they will oppose a tie-up with AfriSam and the PIC is now likely to oppose any transactio­n that does not involve AfriSam.

Chris Wood, head of equity at Prudential Investment Managers, which holds 14% of PPC and opposes the AfriSam deal, said a stalemate suited Prudential as it gave PPC an opportunit­y to realise some of its standalone potential.

Wood said PPC had made significan­t investment in SA and the rest of Africa, which had the potential to double the company’s earnings and share price over the next three years. But the company “has its own set of challenges” and needed time to bed down these investment­s.

In early October, PPC’s independen­t board, establishe­d to consider transactio­ns, said it was keen to avoid long-running negotiatio­ns with any bidders. The board was “mindful of avoiding any unduly protracted engagement with any of the bidders and accordingl­y, aims to be in a position to make a decision on the best way to proceed within a sensible … period”.

Sam Sithole, CEO of Value Capital Partners, which owns 5% of PPC and also opposes the AfriSam tie-up, said that he was happy with the PIC as a co-investor in PPC and welcomed news of its increased holding. “But from our perspectiv­e, we see the PPC doing better on its own,” he said.

Value Capital has attributed an intrinsic value of at least R10 per share to PPC. Sithole has said he believes PPC will generate almost 50% of its profits from the rest of Africa in the next two years.

Following Friday morning’s Sens announceme­nt from PPC, revealing the PIC had increased its stake to 25.058%, the share price eased back to close marginally weaker at R7.48.

The PIC recently released a schedule of its unlisted investment­s, which revealed its 66% AfriSam stake had cost R9.5bn. That R9.5bn had a market value at the end of March 2017 of just R1.8bn. In addition, the PIC has R1.8bn of AfriSam debt. It described AfriSam as underperfo­rming financiall­y and said there was significan­t competitio­n in all the markets in which Afrisam operated.

A competitio­n lawyer said the 25.058% stake in PPC, in addition to the AfriSam holding, would not raise any competitio­n concerns unless it represente­d more than 50% of shareholde­rs who generally attended shareholde­r meetings. Since 2015, shareholde­r attendance at PPC meetings has varied between 67% and 80%.

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