Business Day

Pandemic is inevitable, US warns as virus spread widens

- David Stanway and Josh Smith Shanghai/Seoul

Asia reported hundreds of new coronaviru­s cases on Wednesday, including the first US soldier to be infected, as the US warned of an inevitable pandemic, and outbreaks in Italy and Iran spread to more countries.

Asian shares fell on Wednesday as the US warning to Americans to prepare for a likely coronaviru­s pandemic jolted Wall Street again and pushed yields on safe-haven Treasuries to record lows.

Stock markets globally have wiped out $3.33-trillion of value in the past four trading sessions, as measured by the MSCI all country index that comprises stocks across 23 developed and 26 emerging markets.

The disease is believed to have originated in a market selling wildlife in the Chinese city of Wuhan in late 2019 and has infected about 80,000 people and killed more than 2,700, most of whom were in China.

Adding to a growing sense that a rapid spread of the virus in more places is inevitable, a World Health Organisati­on (WHO) official urged that preparatio­ns be made now.

In the US, the US Centres for Disease Control and Prevention urged Americans to prepare, saying that while the immediate risk there was low, the global situation suggested a pandemic was likely.

“It’s not a question of if. It’ sa question of when and how many people will be infected,” the centre’s principal deputy director, Anne Schuchat, said

The US has reported 57 cases of the virus.

MOBILISATI­ON

from Daegu city, where the virus is believed to have been passed among members of the Shincheonj­i Church of Jesus, the Korea Centres for Disease Control and Prevention said.

The US military said a 23year-old soldier based in Camp Carroll, 20km from Daegu, had been infected and was in selfquaran­tine at home.

In Japan, Prime Minister Shinzo Abe called for sports and cultural events to be scrapped or curtailed for two weeks to stem the virus as concern mounted for the 2020 Tokyo Olympics even though officials have repeatedly denied the Games will be affected.

Japan has 170 virus cases and 691 linked to a cruise ship that was quarantine­d in February. Six people have died in Japan, including four from the ship.

There have been nearly 50 deaths outside China, including 11 in Italy and 16 in Iran, the most outside China, according to a Reuters tally.

Iran’s deputy health minister seen mopping his brow at a televised news conference — was among the infected.

Cases linked to Iran have been reported across the region.

Kuwait said it had two new coronaviru­s cases, some among

IT’S NOT A QUESTION OF IF. IT’S A QUESTION OF WHEN AND HOW MANY PEOPLE WILL BE INFECTED

people returning from Iran, took its tally to 18, while Bahrain said its infections had risen to 26 after three new ones on a flight from Iran.

In Europe, Italy has become a front line in the global outbreak with 322 cases. Italians or people who had recently visited the country, have tested positive in Algeria, Austria, Croatia, Romania, Spain and Switzerlan­d.

Two hotels, one in Austria and one in Spain’s Canary Islands, were also locked down after cases emerged linked to Italy. Spain also reported its first three cases on the mainland.

China’s containmen­t efforts have hobbled the world’s second-biggest economy, with growth set to fall further from a three-decade low of 6.1% last year.

But a growing number of Chinese regions are downgradin­g their emergency response level after assessing that risks have receded and authoritie­s are urging a return to work.

The effects of the outbreak are reverberat­ing through the region with most of its major economies expected to either slow or shrink this quarter, Reuters polls found.

Forecasts from economists collected by Reuters from February 19-25 showed that Australia, South Korea, Taiwan, Singapore and Thailand are all expected to put in their worst performanc­e in years in this quarter.

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