Business Day

Why some countries are keeping the schools open

• Australia and Sweden worry health-care workers will stay at home, while Singapore doubts children are at risk

- Faris Mokhtar and Sybilla Gross Singapore/Sydney

As the coronaviru­s has made its way around the world, more than 160 countries have closed schools. Nearly 90% of the world’s student population is now out of class.

In Singapore, Australia, Sweden and Taiwan — and a few states in the US — school is still in.

That policy decision is becoming harder to justify by the day. Singapore recently reported a pair of coronaviru­s clusters linked to government­sponsored preschools. Australian teachers are considerin­g a strike. Normally strict attendance rules have been relaxed, with some leaders encouragin­g parents to keep their children home as part of wider virus containmen­t efforts, even if the schools are open.

In defence of keeping schools open, officials in the few holdouts say they can contain the outbreak without taking a radical action that they fear could do more harm than good.

They cite early medical research that children are not as affected by the virus and concern about the stresses of having children at home for working parents already facing deep economic uncertaint­y.

After Singapore’s recent school-based outbreaks, the city-state agreed to move to a four-day school week, but Prime Minister Lee Hsien Loong appeared to rule out a nationwide shutdown.

“I think we should look at schools as individual schools rather than one whole system,” he said. “We confine and we rub out that cluster, but it does not mean that I must shut the whole system down.”

ESSENTIAL WORKERS

Australia banned most public gathering places this week, shutting bars, cinemas, shopping malls and gyms, and calling a halt to weddings and even funerals.

But closing educationa­l facilities may not have the same effect on containmen­t, the country’s deputy chief medical officer said, and may in fact worsen the strain on the healthcare system as the government estimates that 30% of essential health workers will have to stay at home to supervise their children.

“We know that without closing schools the burden on the health-care workforce already exists,” said Rochelle Wynne, professor of nursing for Western Sydney local health district. “There’s going to be a massive shortage — over 10,000 critical-care nurses are needed to be redeployed from other areas to meet the demand. And that’s just critical-care beds alone.”

Some schools are now worrying about a shortage of cleaning supplies and toilet paper, and teachers are worried that students, parents or their coworkers may be carriers or that they themselves could unknowingl­y expose others.

“We were all quite anxious about it. Teachers were wearing gloves and we were washing our hands constantly,” said Lea Lockwood, a parent and English teacher in Bendigo, a regional town in southeast Australia. “Everything should be shutting down,” she said.

Parents are encouraged to keep children at home where possible, but the teachers’ union is pushing Prime Minister Scott Morrison for definitive closures sooner rather than later.

Sweden has also kept its schools open, in part to ease the burden on parents who work in essential jobs, including health care. Elsewhere in Europe, government­s have closed schools but are trying to keep some facilities running for the children of health-care workers.

Sweden’s health authority also assessed the chance that healthy children would transmit the disease as “very small”.

FAMILY CLUSTERS

Singapore has relied on the same logic to keep its schools open. The city-state’s education minister, Ong Ye Kung, pointed to advice by Dale Fisher, a professor and chair of the World Health Organisati­on’s Global Outbreak Alert and Response Network.

“A lot of the swabs that we have taken from family clusters have shown that while the parents might have had the disease and symptoms, the children are completely well, even though they tested positive,” Fisher said in an article in The Straits Times.

Other research suggests that children are in no way immune to serious symptoms and complicati­ons. One prepublica­tion study of more than 2,000 paediatric patients with the coronaviru­s in China reported that the virus was generally less severe in young people, but “young children, particular­ly infants, are vulnerable”.

And even if not very sick themselves, infected children could still be contagious. A study of 36 paediatric cases in China published this week found that half of the infected children showed no obvious signs of the disease, making them “covert” spreaders of the pathogen.

Research is not yet conclusive on whether infected children are contagious, and if so, how contagious they are.

If this were a flu outbreak, said Benjamin Cowling, head of the epidemiolo­gy division at Hong Kong University, “closing schools would have a big effect on transmissi­on, because children are more susceptibl­e to infection and more contagious when infected.

“But for Covid-19, the potential effect is not so clear.”

The decision to close schools is often as controvers­ial as the decision to keep them open. In Washington state, where the coronaviru­s first took hold in the US, governor Jay Inslee extended two-week local closures to a six-week statewide shutdown.

As much as they’re worried about the virus spreading in one of the country’s biggest metropolit­an areas, parents are divided, said Tim Robinson, a spokespers­on for Seattle Public Schools. “Some say ‘how dare you close schools’ and some are saying ‘how dare you not close schools’,” he said.

Only a handful of US states had not mandated school closures by last week and the majority of students nationwide are staying at home.

LOW-INCOME FAMILIES

The biggest obstacle to closing schools is a question of equity, said Jason Tan, an associate professor at Nanyang Technologi­cal University’s National Institute of Education in Singapore. Not everyone has a laptop or a tablet to support online learning, and remote instructio­n is a challenge for younger children regardless. Low-income families could miss out on free school meals.

Globally, experts predict incidents of child abuse will increase with the drop in oversight and services that, in part, schools provide.

In New York City, where about 75% of public school students are classified as lowincome and one in 10 are homeless, the city’s department of education is still providing three free meals daily for all children. About 850,000 meals are served to students each school day. Of these, over 700,000 meals are provided at no charge to the students.

The federal economic stimulus package that US President Donald Trump has signed also addresses some of the societal gaps created by school shutdowns.

Parents who stay home or quit their jobs because they no longer have adequate daily child care will be eligible for unemployme­nt benefits and up to 12 weeks of paid family and medical leave at 67% of an individual’s normal pay.

While public anxiety is rising in Singapore and Australia over a surge in infections, Taiwan has kept schools open without seeing a spike in virus cases.

The island of 24-million reported its first case of coronaviru­s in January. The

Taiwanese government was among the first to cut off flights from Wuhan, promptly followed by a ban on travel to and from the rest of the mainland, Hong Kong and Macau.

At the time, Taiwan extended its school break to late February. Mask rationing and distributi­on, strict testing and up to $33,000 fines for breaching quarantine had resulted in just 267 infections as of Friday.

TOUGH MEASURES

Schools have remained open without interrupti­on since students returned on February 25. But heightened measures have been in place. Schools with more than 1,000 students are required to have at least 10 entrance lanes for temperatur­e checks, and dividers are placed on students’ desks to separate them.

“It’s really a tough decision to make. There are public health concerns about transmissi­on because so many people gather in schools,” said Tan, the Nanyang professor. “But it’s not a straightfo­rward thing to do.”

HALF OF THE INFECTED CHILDREN SHOWED NO OBVIOUS SIGNS OF THE DISEASE, MAKING THEM ‘COVERT’ SPREADERS

 ?? /123RF/lev dolgachov ?? Desk duty: A handful of US states had not mandated school closures by last week, but the majority of students nationwide are staying at home.
/123RF/lev dolgachov Desk duty: A handful of US states had not mandated school closures by last week, but the majority of students nationwide are staying at home.

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