Business Day

Shadow of US experiment

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According to doomsayers like US geopolitic­al analyst and author Peter Zeihan, North America has the demographi­c, agricultur­al capacity, space and mineral wealth to sail relatively unscathed through the coming apocalypse. Mexico has the youngsters, the US the capital and Canada the natural resources.

But Zeihan doesn’t consider the possibilit­y of social and political tension exploding in the US. The hallowed US constituti­on was, like all such, a compromise. One unsolved contention was around the poles of federalism and state rights, two opposites that no great US mind has managed to pattern weld into one.

It’s the dark shadow of the American experiment, unfurled in the arguments between Thomas Jefferson and Alexander Hamilton, disastrous­ly destructiv­e during the civil war and now once again venomous, with the current replay pitting Republican racist, gun-toting state right fundamenta­lists against Democrat wokist and gender-confused environmen­tal federalist­s.

The arraignmen­t of former president Donald Trump, a first in US history, on what Republican­s would say are politicall­y motivated charges related to porn star Stormy Daniels, has opened the chasm a little wider. The gulf was already opening with the repeal of Roe v Wade, which made abortion legislatio­n a state competence. Now Florida’s governor has offered to prevent Trump’s extraditio­n to the state of New York.

Dysfunctio­nal cities, underfunde­d police forces, racially inspired violence, an overflow of guns and irregular militias are a potent tinderbox just waiting for a match. While we must all hope this doesn’t happen, the current US leadership doesn’t exactly inspire confidence.

Camps Bay

James Cunningham

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