Business Day

Rest of Africa snaps up most of our vegetable exports

- Thabile Nkunjana ● Nkunjana is an agricultur­al economist in the markets and economic research division at the National Agricultur­al Marketing Council.

Vegetables are an important exportable product from SA, and yet often overlooked. Over the past five years SA vegetable export earnings have averaged R3.1bn a year, according to data from the Internatio­nal Trade Centre, the UN Conference on Trade & Developmen­t, and the World Trade Organisati­on.

Vegetable export earnings from SA rose moderately year on year in 2022, rising from R3.3bn in 2021 to R3.4bn, exceeding the five-year average of R3.1bn. This was expected after a difficult year due to several issues.

Higher input costs such as the price of fertiliser­s may have led to farmers reducing their applicatio­n, hence lower yields. Production challenges related to weather, high input prices and, of course, the export ban on SA vegetables by two key market destinatio­ns for our veggies — Botswana and Namibia — were among the challenges producers and exporters had to face in 2022.

As is generally the case for SA agricultur­al product exports, the rest of Africa was the largest market for vegetables, accounting for 64% in 2022.

The EU was the secondlarg­est vegetable market, accounting for 22% of exports, followed by Asia and the Middle East, accounting for 10%. The remaining 4% is shared among other parts of the world.

Predictabl­y, overall vegetable exports to Botswana plummeted 53% from R498m in 2021 to R234m in 2022 as a result of the prohibitio­n it placed on vegetable imports from SA, in contravent­ion of trade agreements. Surprising­ly, exports to Namibia increased slightly — by 1.8% from R296m in 2021 to R301m in 2022, despite a similar unilateral ban.

Namibia accounted for the same 9% market share of SA’s total vegetable exports in 2022 as it did in 2021, while Botswana represente­d 7% of the market share in 2022 as opposed to 15% in 2021. Increased demand from the EU, Asia, and other African countries offset the drop in vegetable exports, primarily to Botswana.

For instance, exports to Taiwan increased 248% year on year, while exports to China, the Democratic Republic of the Congo, Germany, Zimbabwe and Angola increased 198%, 186%, 64%, 54% and 44%, respective­ly.

Exports to the EU increased significan­tly in 2022 but this varied across products and countries. For instance, onion exports to the UK increased 59% from 2,438 tonnes in 2021 to 3,874 tonnes in 2022, while there was a 140% increase to the Netherland­s and a 161% rise to Ireland.

Spain did not import any onions from SA in 2021 and was importing smaller quantities of about 25 tonnes a year before 2021. However, in 2022 it imported a little more than 400 tonnes. Demand for SA onions in the EU region may have partly led to the elevated onion prices in SA later in 2022. This was made worse by lower production in the western parts of the country due to drought and inconsiste­ncy in irrigating due to power outages.

Potato exports showed an increase of 2%, from 181,000 tonnes in 2021 to 185,000 tonnes in 2022, valued at R794m. This was 4.7% higher than the R758m recorded the previous year.

Ginger, cauliflowe­r, cabbage, garlic and onions were among the vegetables that contribute­d to the reported decrease in exports in 2022. In the case of ginger, the current pricing somewhat reflects poor exports. This can be explained by the fact that the demand for ginger caused by Covid-19 has drasticall­y decreased after 2021.

EXPORT EARNINGS ROSE MODERATELY YEAR ON YEAR IN 2022, FROM R3.3BN IN 2021 TO R3.4BN, EXCEEDING THE FIVE-YEAR AVERAGE OF R3.1BN

It is early in the year to draw conclusion­s about SA’s prospectiv­e vegetable exports in 2023. On the one hand, the cost of fertiliser has decreased from where it was a year ago. This will aid farmers in increasing fertiliser applicatio­n and consequent­ly push up crop yields.

On the other hand, the domestic output is still potentiall­y at risk because of the persistent energy supply challenges, which could have a negative effect on the production and irrigation of various crops. In addition, there is a likelihood that in the second half of this year weather conditions may be drier and hotter than we have experience­d over the past four seasons.

The largest market for SA’s agricultur­al products is Africa. The SA government should therefore work hard to maintain positive trade relations with the continent and its trade blocs.

The African Continenta­l Free Trade Area presents a major opportunit­y for SA to strengthen and maintain its presence in the African market.

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