Business Day

Protecting African polls with and from artificial intelligen­ce

- Scott Timcke and Hanani Hlomani

In 2024 there are over 70 elections scheduled worldwide, with about 26 of them taking place in Africa, according to the Electoral Institute for Sustainabl­e Democracy in Africa. These elections vary from presidenti­al to local government elections.

That means more than half of the global population will have the chance to exercise their voting rights. However, malign uses of artificial intelligen­ce (AI) threaten to undermine these democratic processes, particular­ly in Africa, where the voting populace has not yet been sufficient­ly educated about the potential dangers associated with the use of AI in democratic processes and regulatory frameworks needed to govern AI in electoral processes are still lacking.

However, Africa is not entirely unprepared to meet this challenge. Despite the absence of binding continenta­l guidelines, many African countries have laid the groundwork to regulate AI in elections through “soft laws” such as declaratio­ns and guiding principles.

The foundation­al document is the 2002 Declaratio­n on the Principles Governing Democratic Elections, adopted by the OAU, the predecesso­r to the AU. While not explicitly mentioning technology, this declaratio­n establishe­s principles such as the necessity of impartial electoral bodies and respect for human rights and the rule of law — principles potentiall­y affected both positively and negatively by the use of AI.

LACK OF SPECIFICIT­Y

Building on this, the AU’s 2007 African Charter on Democracy, Elections and Governance includes specific provisions related to using technology to advance governance. The charter urges member states to employ informatio­n technology to promote political, economic and social developmen­t. However, it does not detail exactly how technology should be used in elections.

Critics charge that this lack of specificit­y renders the charter powerless to regulate AI innovation­s such as microtarge­ted political messaging. Yet the charter’s broad principles opposing discrimina­tion and requiring transparen­t, impartial processes still provide an ethical framework applicable to AI.

Despite the charter’s limitation­s, individual African nations have taken steps to govern AI themselves. Many other African countries have introduced policies touching on data protection, cybersecur­ity and e-governance. As it relates to data collection and processing, an essential part of AI use and developmen­t, data protection laws are arguably the most relevant policies and laws.

To date, 35 African countries have enacted data protection laws while three are in the draft stage. What is common among the majority of such laws is that they often regulate how personal data — including voters’ informatio­n

— can be processed, for example. This has created an expanding legal ecosystem to control AI even without binding continenta­l standards.

The AU is ramping up efforts to build a comprehens­ive AI governance regime. The draft AU-AI continenta­l strategy proposes increasing public awareness of AI’s societal impacts and regulating developmen­t of accountabl­e AI systems. The AU’s working group on AI plans further steps to govern AI.

With both grassroots progress and high-level plans under way, Africa has made promising strides towards managing AI’s double-edged potential. Yet much work remains as malign manipulato­rs will surely attempt to exploit AI to undermine democratic aspiration­s.

BINDING GUIDELINES

To fortify Africa’s elections in 2024 and beyond AU member states should urgently ratify and implement the African Charter on Democracy, Elections and Governance’s core principles of transparen­cy, impartiali­ty and respect for human rights. The AU must establish a continenta­l amendment stipulatin­g precisely how AI can and cannot be used in electoral processes.

Binding guidelines should mandate transparen­cy in AI systems used for political messaging and strictly limit micro-targeting to avoid manipulati­ve personalis­ation.

Strict audits must assess AI tools for bias that could disenfranc­hise women, minorities and other vulnerable groups. Electoral bodies should create specialise­d oversight capacities to monitor AI activities, aided by civil society watchdogs.

Given that data protection authoritie­s have been or are being establishe­d in the majority of African countries, this function might be delegated to them.

No doubt the road ahead will be challengin­g. But by leveraging its existing soft laws while expanding binding continenta­l safeguards, Africa can harness AI’s potential for better governance while insulating democracy against its perils. With vigilance and collective action the continent’s citizens can exercise their votes freely and fairly even in AI’s emerging era.

● Dr Timcke is a senior research associate at Research ICT Africa, a research associate at the University of Johannesbu­rg Centre for Social Change, and an affiliate of the Centre for Informatio­n, Technology & Public Life at the University of North Carolina. Hlomani is a research fellow with Research ICT Africa and a PhD candidate in tech and commercial law at UCT.

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