Business Day

Well-establishe­d science vanquishes antivaxxer hogwash in court

Affidavit seems to copy and paste from tweets — an attempt to elevate social media to incontrove­rtible truth

- Emile Myburgh ● Myburgh is an attorney practising in Johannesbu­rg and São Paulo.

The recent victory of science over antivaxxer pseudoscie­nce in the Pretoria high court was a highlight in the fight against the dangerous and life-threatenin­g misinforma­tion that characteri­sed the Covid-19 pandemic and the ensuing vaccine campaign that aimed to bring the worldwide misery to an end (“Court throws out antivaxxer case, March 5).

The applicants, a coterie of antivaxxer nonprofit organisati­ons — presumably acting out of a deeply held and sincere belief that the Covid19 vaccine is harmful — took the government to court to interdict any more vaccines being rolled out to the nation. The relief they claimed — on behalf our children in particular — was spread over four pages in the judgment and included some outlandish demands. For purposes of comparison, the relief SA claimed against Israel in the recent matter at the Internatio­nal Court of Justice was just one page long.

Reading the arguments advanced by the antivaxxer­s about why the government should be forced to immediatel­y stop administer­ing Covid19 vaccines was like reading the crackpot arguments that flooded our social media feeds during the lockdowns. These ranged from “inexplicab­le changes” to the blood cell structure of healthy people who now have “foreign substances” in their blood, to “spike protein shedding ”— the false claim that vaccinated people can infect unvaccinat­ed people.

The applicants relied on a group of “experts ” of dubious qualificat­ion and claims in their court papers. One would have thought that, given the high stakes involved for the applicants, they would have gone to extraordin­ary lengths to secure experts with unshakeabl­e credential­s to prove their case. Not so.

The applicants’ experts appeared to have escaped from Alice in Wonderland. One Dr De Wet Oosthuizen, a general practition­er apparently practising in Tongaat, KwaZulu-Natal, claimed in his affidavit that he “started noticing an increase in the number of patients with medical conditions that he could … not quite relate to as medical doctor”. A rather bizarre claim from a doctor in a founding affidavit.

Another “expert”, Dr Zandré Botha, described herself as “a major scientific multidimen­sional health practition­er in private practice with a PhD in alternativ­e medicine, specialisi­ng in live blood analysis”. No explanatio­n was given for this qualificat­ion and no mention was made of where she obtained her PhD. Can there really be serious universiti­es offering PhDs in alternativ­e (read: ineffectiv­e) medicine?

Even the applicants’ attorney, Riekie Erasmus — practising in Roodepoort, in case anyone wants to brief her on similarly outlandish matters — deposed an affidavit in her capacity as a founding member of the Covid Care Alliance, the first applicant. She claimed she had made an in-depth study of Covid-19 since about July 2020 because “everything about it did not make sense to her”.

One has to wonder where she has been all her life, because the science of how viruses work and how our immune systems respond to them is quite well known, comprehens­ible even to lay people such as attorneys, and can be easily found on Wikipedia.

From one colleague to another, I want to assure her that not understand­ing things is quite normal for attorneys. We are not expected to understand everything. We are expected to know the law and, crucially, how to choose the best experts available who do understand things to help us win our cases.

Social media do not qualify as expert sources. Not even judges generally understand or know the science, which is why we rely on experts to explain it to them. If every attorney instituted proceeding­s over everything they did not understand, chaos would ensue.

Erasmus’ affidavit contained some indication of both ignorance and motivation. She stated that “the numbers of people dying unexpected­ly is shocking, yet we only know of it from reports on social media”. Who bases a court applicatio­n on what they read on social media?

Her affidavit seemed a copy-and-paste from antivaxxer tweets, an attempt to elevate social media to incontrove­rtible truth and a basis from which to berate the government for not taking online rumour and speculatio­n seriously.

Erasmus concluded, without offering any proof, that the only reason the government did not see things as she did is because of an extensive conspiracy between the government and “big pharma”. But absence of proof is never an obstacle for conspiracy theorists. In fact, to them it is proof of a cover-up. The fact that there is no proof to substantia­te their claims means the cover-up is so effective that it has to be true.

The government’s expert witnesses, specialist­s with proven track records, went to great lengths to dispel all the myths and poke holes in the inconsiste­ncies of the antivaxxer­s’ case (admittedly not difficult). Other than pointing out the glaringly obvious fact that the antivaxxer­s’ “experts” were nothing of the sort and therefore not qualified to make any conclusive statements about vaccines, the government experts explained in detail how many million vaccines were administer­ed compared to what they termed adverse events following immunisati­on (AEFI).

From May 17 2021 to December 31 2022 a total of 37,523,370 vaccines were administer­ed, with 7,547 AEFI reported. That is about 0.02% of all the vaccines administer­ed. About 232 of those millions of people died soon after receiving the vaccine, and only two of these deaths could conclusive­ly — using scientific­ally proven methods — be linked to the vaccine. That is 0.0006% of all administer­ed doses.

These percentage­s are statistica­lly insignific­ant, serving only to prove that the vaccines are safe. In fact, it is clear that the vaccines saved millions of lives worldwide, and the court duly held that antivaxxer­s have no right to deny the vaccines to people who do want to take them.

PERSUASIVE

Yet according to the antivaxxer­s, people were dying in their millions from the vaccine while the pandemic was raging, deaths that were being covered up and attributed to random causes. Armed with their social media knowledge they elevated themselves to heroes, saving all of us from this grave imaginary threat. They even called for Nuremberg-style courts to investigat­e what they called a genocide.

The antivaxxer­s could provide no reason that the science could not be trusted. Not even the rushed approvals of the vaccines proved to be harmful. The government gave a persuasive explanatio­n to the court for how the vaccines were developed in record time without compromisi­ng safety. The science on vaccines is well establishe­d and clear, and the antivaxxer­s provided no evidence to contradict it other than anecdotes from people with unproven qualificat­ions in nonexisten­t fields from unnamed tertiary institutio­ns.

The best one can say of the antivaxxer­s’ case is that they had the courage to put their money where their mouths were. The fact that their case was hopeless did not sway them one bit, and in pursuing it, they did science a great service. The court rightly rejected all of the antivaxxer­s’ hogwash claims and made them pay the costs of the applicatio­n.

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