Business Day

Heat mapping plan to help cool down sweltering citizens

- Asmeen Khan, Sibongile Mazibuko ● Khan is acting SA country director at the World Bank, and Mazibuko programme manager of the Treasury’s Cities Support Programme.

Picture a summer’s day in Alexandra township, in the north of Johannesbu­rg. Tin roofs swelter in the sun. Heat rises between densely packed buildings and dust swirls on parched, unpaved streets. Even for early risers heading to work, school and daily errands, it’s hard to get respite from the sun’s rays.

Now imagine the scene in the leafy suburbs and business hub of nearby Sandton. The branches of a jacaranda tree cast generous shade. Breezes circulate along tree-lined boulevards and between widely spaced buildings whose interiors are cool and inviting.

These neighbourh­oods are a short drive apart, yet on a hot day they feel like different worlds. The temperatur­e difference­s, partly rooted in apartheid spatial planning, might be dismissed by some as an issue of mere “comfort”.

Unfortunat­ely, average air temperatur­es have already increased at least 1°C globally because of climate change, and by even more in fastgrowin­g cities where manmade materials absorb and radiate energy from the sun. The result is that heat in cities is no longer a matter of comfort but of survival.

A recent study by the Treasury’s cities support programme and the World Bank found that in Johannesbu­rg and Ekurhuleni, most neighbourh­oods had about 20 hot nights a year in recent decades. But Soweto, Alexandra and Thembisa experience­d night-time temperatur­es 3°C higher than the city average. By 2050 these neighbourh­oods could see as many as 120 hot nights per year.

Temperatur­e increases not only have an effect on the environmen­t but have measurable effects on human health. High night-time temperatur­es are associated with increased mortality from respirator­y, cardiovasc­ular and renal conditions because the human body maintains an internal temperatur­e of 37°C partly through rest and cooling at night.

Across SA the story in our cities is similar: the climate is getting hotter, and it is poor and marginalis­ed neighbourh­oods that suffer most. Historical inequaliti­es such as the legacies of the apartheid era, which left some neighbourh­oods lush and green but others dense and bereft of trees — contribute to these temperatur­e difference­s. These disparitie­s mean climate change is hitting the vulnerable hardest.

Fortunatel­y, South Africans are mobilising to find solutions to extreme heat. Residents of Tshwane, Cape Town and Buffalo City have taken to the streets in an innovative “citizen science” heat mapping initiative.

The citizen scientists fix heat sensors onto cars and drive preplanned routes across their cities, collecting thousands of temperatur­e measuremen­ts as they go. The resulting heat maps will provide crucial informatio­n for municipal authoritie­s, which have partnered in this initiative with the Treasury’s cities support programme, the World Bank’s global facility for disaster reduction and recovery, and the Swiss secretaria­t for economic affairs, to use when developing heat action plans.

Heat action plans save lives. After Ahmadabad, one of India’s hottest cities, experience­d 800 excess deaths in one week during the 2010 heatwave, its leaders acted. City authoritie­s now issue yellow, orange or red alerts when temperatur­es surpass thresholds known to predict illness. The alerts are widely disseminat­ed on television, radio and via social media and are coupled with measures to prevent harm from extreme temperatur­es in homes, hospitals, streets and workplaces.

PUTTING THE MOST VULNERABLE CITIZENS FIRST, SA’S CITIES CAN LEAD ON CLIMATE CHANGE ADAPTATION

Researcher­s at the University of Washington estimate that the alerts — and accompanyi­ng actions such as equipping ambulances with more ice packs, mandating shade and water breaks at building sites and planting fast-growing urban forests — now avert 1,100 hot-season deaths per year.

Encouragin­gly, cities across SA are developing measures to protect their residents, economies and infrastruc­ture from the illeffects of extreme heat. An example is Cape Town, where the city’s own recently approved heat action plan sets out clear measures to help vulnerable citizens stay safe in hot weather.

Will SA cities continue to swelter in heatwaves? Global climate change means the answer is unfortunat­ely yes. But heatwaves need not be health crises. By understand­ing the hidden hazard of extreme heat and implementi­ng responses that put the most vulnerable citizens first, SA’s cities can lead the world on climate change adaptation.

By setting aside their time and volunteeri­ng in the heat mapping campaign, SA communitie­s are demonstrat­ing their dedication to creating a better life for future generation­s on a liveable planet.

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