Cape Argus

Indian farmer suicides linked to climate change

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EVERY year, thousands of Indian farmers commit suicide. Now one researcher thinks it may have something to do with climate change.

Tamma Carleton, a researcher at the University of California at Berkeley, compared almost five decades’ worth of suicide and climate data and concluded that temperatur­e variations in India may have “a strong influence” on suicide rates during the growing season.

In her study, published in the Proceeding­s of the National Academy of Sciences of the USA, Carleton estimates that more than 59 000 farmer suicides over the past 30 years can be linked to global warming.

Carleton’s findings are particular­ly worrying and come just two months after the Trump administra­tion pulled out of the Paris climate accord, which was adopted by 196 countries, including the US under the Obama administra­tion in December 2015.

After Trump pulled out of the accord, many countries, including India and China, said they would continue to honour their commitment­s under the accord.

Senior members of the administra­tion, including Trump, have expressed scepticism that climate change is caused by man-made carbon dioxide emissions. In a tweet in 2012, he wrote, “The concept of global warming was created by and for the Chinese in order to make US manufactur­ing non-competitiv­e.”

According to one estimate cited in Carleton’s article, India could experience an average temperatur­e rise of 3°C. The study suggests that the implicatio­ns for India’s mostly rural population could be devastatin­g.

High temperatur­es in the growing season reduce crop yields, putting economic pressure on India’s farmers, she writes. “These crop losses may also permeate throughout the economy, causing both farming and non-farming population­s to face distress as food prices rise and agricultur­al labour demand falls.”

Rainfall in the growing season, too, is important, Carleton suggests. More rain means higher yields, she writes, noting: “Suicide rates fall as growing season rainfall increases.”

According to the World Health Organisati­on, India accounts for the highest number of suicides in the world. A staggering 133623 people took their own lives in 2015, according to data from the National Crime Records Bureau. More than 12000 of those were farmers and agricultur­al labourers, almost a 10th of the total.

According to Indian authoritie­s, bankruptcy and indebtedne­ss or farming-related issues are cited as the major causes of suicide among farmers in India.

The government has initiated programs to help curb farmers’ woes, including a $1.3 billion (R74bn) crop insurance scheme.

In a recent radio broadcast, Prime Minister Narendra Modi acknowledg­ed the devastatin­g impact of climate change on India. “Climate change, altered weather cycles and transforma­tions in the environmen­t are also having a big negative impact. Recently certain parts of India, particular­ly, Assam, northeast India, Gujarat, Rajasthan and some areas of Bengal, have had to bear the brunt of natural disasters caused by excessive rains,” he said, referring to states that have been inundated by floods this year.

“Life goes completely topsyturvy as a result of the floods. Crops, livestock, infrastruc­ture, roads, electricit­y, communicat­ion links – everything gets affected. In particular, our farmer brethren have to bear a lot of losses because of the damage to their crops and fields.” he said. – Washington Post

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