Favourite Model to justify favouritism
THE Vaal stages a low key nine race card tomorrow and the exotics look the best way to play it. In the first leg of the PA Favourite Model looked the winner last time over this distance on the Classic track when ranging up from a handy position but she then found no extra and was beaten 1,3 lengths, so there could be a slight concern that she doesn’t quite see out the trip.
However, she has twice placed over this trip and is tipped to beat an uninspiring field. Oh Mercy Me ran a fair race over 1450m last time and was plugging on.
Pretty Border
She will improve and should enjoy the step up in trip so is another one to include in the PA. Pretty Border was scalped when beaten 2,8 lengths from a wide draw by Favourite Model last time but was staying on strongly and is also a must include in the PA. In the first leg of the Pick 6 Pidgeon Rock showed fair pace and stayed on well over 1160m second time out for a good runner up finish. At first glance he appears to be a banker consideration. However, Lazarus Tree hit the front close to home over 1200m on debut in April and was only caught late before fading into fifth. He was backed from 20/1 into 5/1 that day. He finished ten lengths back second time out over 1000m, but that was in a strong maiden field. He could be a threat despite not having raced for 77 days.
In the first leg of the Jackpot Quattro has been enjoying the winter conditions and has been showing pace and the ability to stay on.
He has been knocking on the door off his current merit rating and is the one to beat. Wottahottie has won over course and distance before and drops down to this trip having been knocking on the door for a long time off this mark from 1400-1600m. Refuge put up a fair effort last time over 1400m when sitting behind the pace and staying on and off a two point lower mark is interesting over a course and distance over which he has won twice in just three attempts.
Thewaywemakem
Thewaywemakem was staying on well last time when beaten just half-a-length by Quattro and is now 0,5kg better off and Hewitson remains aboard. King Of The Delta had some fair maiden form and should be thereabouts despite having to carry topweight.
Goa and Singaswewin also warrant consideration.
In the sixth race over 1200m Hideaway looks a fair sort and will relish the step back to a sprint.
Stark caught the eye last time in his second run after an eightand-a-half month layoff and should be a big runner here. Prince Jordan won his maiden well and off a reasonable mark should go close too.
In the seventh over 1200m Baahir is an honest sort who has been going close over his current merit rating. Huyssteen and Play The Night both have a touch of class. Huyssteen won when stepped down to 1400m and is interesting over a further step down in trip. Play The Night caught the eye last time when staying on strongly over this trip on the Turffontein Inside track in his first run after a seven month layoff and gelding.
The next race over 1600m is ultra competitive and as many horses as possible should be included.
Serendipity
The tip to win it is Serendipity whose handy to front-running tactics are suited to the current fast going.
In the last race, a Maiden over 1600m, Supermax is a rangy sort with scope for improvement and he is tipped to win after making a fair debut over 1400m, but Camel Walk, Cinnabon, Shanghai Pierce and Belfry also have to be considered.