Have faith in Riverboat Queen
ANDRE Nel’s lightly raced three-year-olds have been proving a boon to punters but one that flopped can recoup the losses at a decent price in the Itsarush.co.za Maiden at Kenilworth today.
This is Riverboat Queen who was only beaten half a length in an admittedly modest-looking maiden early last month but she was ominously reluctant to load when heavily backed a fortnight later and she beat only one home.
There is plenty in the form book about her running so badly but at the time nobody could come up with a reason – and perhaps that is why World Sports Betting opened her at 9-2 and why she only shortened marginally to 4-1 yesterday. But have a look at the small print at the end of the reams of the Met day stipes’ report and you will see the answer.
Nel found her to be slightly sore on her leftfore the morning after the race and that evening she was running a temperature. The following morning she was lame on both front legs and still had a temperature. The vet recommended no exercise for ten days.
Golden Wine is the obvious form choice and is favourite at 2-1 with I Lived (13 lengths in front of Riverboat Queen) on 33-10 and Seattle Silva next on 4-1.
The Brett Crawford runner is interesting as she also ran way below her best last time although it was her first race for nearly three months and she lost ground at the start. “I think the 1 400m was too far for her,” says her trainer. “She is back to 1 200m, is working well and should run much better.”
Nanna Anna’s experience may be just enough to win the first at 5-2 – she was unlucky not to win first time and was then fifth when Anthony Delpech rode her in the Met day Listed race. “I think she will be hard to beat,” says a back-toform Paul Reeves.
However the money has poured on Believethisbeauty as if all she has to do is turn up and she went from 22-10 to 8-10 inside 24 hours. The R525 000 Captain Al newcomer is the first foal of the Winter Oaks winner Cause To Believe. “This 1 000m may be a bit short for her but she shows a lot of speed and she is talented,” says Vaughan Marshall.
The betting would suggest that only inexperience can stop her but don’t forget Casual Diamond even though she has drifted from 22-10 to 4-1. Her first run suggests she can make the frame.
Apollo Star
Apollo Star opened very short at 7-10 in the other two-year-old race half an hour later but again a Marshall horse has rocked the market. Captain’s Charm, well beaten in the Met day Listed race, has been backed from 11-2 to 5-2 and as a result Joey Ramsden’s runner, fourth to Bold Respect in the R1 million Kuda Sprint, has eased to 13-10 and at that price he gets the vote.
Richard Fourie’s mount Royal Marine (niggled at and now 5-1) is a son of What A Winter and apparently could make the frame at the first time of asking. “”I brought him to Kenilworth to gallop and he worked very well,” says Greg Ennion who, however, cautions: “He might just need it.”
Ennion, incidentally, expects Meaningful Look to go well against Riverboat Queen – “she has improved a lot from her first run.” But stable companion Mangrove, as short as 15-10 for race five at one stage, has an outside draw to contend with and so Redeemer is preferred despite not being much of a price.