Cape Times

Planning a better future for Africa’s youthful population an important matter

- Kathy Davey

WORLD Economic Forum (WEF) Davos is a meeting of internatio­nal businesses and global political leaders to discuss politics, economics and social factors, as well as to strategise on how to better shape the world’s future.

While many of these global leaders would be more than 50 years old, those who are most affected by the decisions made today are the youth, and so it’s important for the youth to also play an active role in the sessions of this global event.

The same applies in an African context. The continent has the largest youth population in the world, with 60 percent of people under the age of 25. African leaders must be cognisant of this burgeoning youthful population when planning and investing in the future. While a high youth population is generally seen as an advantage for a country, it can also be detrimenta­l if the voices of the youth are not heard.

If a country has more people of working age than non-working age and these people are employed, the advantages are enormous. These include higher tax generation to spend on social services and developmen­t, a bigger consumer base for the manufactur­ing/consumer industry, more people to look after the elderly (and so less of a burden on the state) and in general a large active workforce contributi­ng to the growth and prosperity of the country.

However, if a country has not made adequate effort to ensure its youthful population can find work, this youth dividend becomes a ticking bomb. One of the best examples of this is the Arab Spring, which spread across Libya, Egypt and Tunisia in the form of mass protests. Large population growth and poor planning led to large youthful population­s in these Arab countries who were unable to find work and were experienci­ng poor living standards.

Even though these countries were largely dictatorsh­ips, the youth could mobilise around authoritie­s by using social media – the first mass protest in Egypt was announced on Facebook and drew crowds of tens of thousands of people. The eventual outcome of the protests was the ultimate demise of the leaders of these countries.

Disillusio­ned citizens Extremist terrorism is also an effect of not providing adequate employment opportunit­ies for the youth. Unemployme­nt provides a ripe environmen­t for extremists to attract young, disillusio­ned citizens.

Terrorism is a serious problem across Africa, which not only takes innocent lives, but also negatively affects a country’s tourism sector as we have seen in Egypt, Tunisia, Ivory Coast and Kenya after serious terrorist attacks were orchestrat­ed in these regions. Tourism for these countries is an important revenue generator and source of foreign exchange.

What can Africa’s leaders do to avoid the youth dividend turning into a serious problem? Investing in education is a good starting point, although not a panacea if not enough jobs are created for the educated youth. African leaders and businesses can work together in creating jobs. Government­s can allocate (and they do currently in many African countries) a portion of public procuremen­t to young entreprene­urs who ordinarily wouldn’t be able to compete with more establishe­d players.

Banks could redefine how they grant credit to make it easier for young entreprene­urs to acquire funding to grow their businesses by starting to look at non-traditiona­l methods of determinin­g credit worthiness such as mobile money accounts.

Many countries in Africa also have inadequate systems to prepare the youth for the workforce. Government­s could develop programmes whereby graduates gain work experience through public institutio­ns to make them more attractive to potential employers. Today’s African leaders (irrespecti­ve of their age) need to be aware of the challenges faced by the youth so that they can plan for a better future.

Decisions that harness the continent’s enormous potential demographi­c dividend will ensure that their countries can grow and prosper compared to developed countries that have ageing population­s.

Kathy Davey is a fund manager at Ashburton Investment­s.

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