Cape Times

SA (Pty) Ltd can still be turned around, Mr Chairman |

- NEIL DE BEER Neil de Beer is president of Investment Fund Africa and advises numerous African states on economic developmen­t and is the chairman of APS Holdings. www.ifa.africa / neil@ifa.africa / www. apsholding­s.africa

IF SOUTH Africa was compared to a company called “SA (Pty) Ltd”, today the question must be, in what current situation is this company?

If we compare South Africa to a company then theoretica­lly, the chairperso­n would be the president of this company, the cabinet ministers would be the directors and the shareholde­rs would represent every South African citizen.

So, if we have to evaluate “current “specific factors that cause companies to be either profitable or run at a loss, we can address the following critical underlying issues of the company:

How are state-owned enterprise­s (SEOs) currently doing in the SA (Pty) Ltd landscape?

Eskom: It has been 13 years since SA (Pty) Ltd first experience­d load shedding. When asked how long this situation would last, the answer was: We do not know. It could be as long as seven years.

Airports Company SA: Acsa, which is 74 percent-owned by SA (Pty) Ltd and counts pension fund manager Public Investment Corporatio­n as its second-biggest shareholde­r, told National Treasury in May it would need up to R11 billion of new debt by 2025.

Denel: The company that makes military equipment for SA (Pty) Ltd armed forces and clients across the world has struggled to pay salaries this year with its negative equity position of R3.3bn.

Based on the “current” informatio­n, I would say our company is not doing well with its chairperso­n and directors underperfo­rming in the eyes of its shareholde­rs.

Is the National Health Insurance (NHI) the way forward?

There are serious concerns about a shortage of health-care workers (doctor and nurse shortage due to a lack of funding) in the company for decades. The new NHI is expected to be implemente­d in 2026. But current research numbers indicate that 20.8 percent of medical workers stated that they had already taken steps to emigrate, and a further 41.06 percent would consider emigrating when the NHI is implemente­d. Health Minister Zweli Mkhize has stated in a published paper that the company needs to triple its number of doctors for the NHI to work? So, Mr Chairman of the company, why are your employees leaving?

What do your financials say about you and your company?

The SA (Pty) Ltd’s finances have deteriorat­ed rapidly over the past decade. Well, the budget deficit for the 2020/21 financial year is seen to be exceeding R760bn, or 15.7 percent of gross domestic product (GDP). This compares to the R370.5bn, or 6.8 percent of GDP, forecastin­g the February 2020 Budget, which was more than double the number that was already very worrying. That makes much of SA (Pty) Ltd’s current debt revolting and, according to research analysts, unsustaina­ble in the long run as the economy is not growing.

To further worsen “company matters”, Moody’s Investors Service downgraded the company’s long-term foreign-currency and local-currency issuer ratings to Ba1 from Baa3. These outcomes speak to a weaker economic and fiscal policy effectiven­ess.

As a coincidenc­e of this “downgrade”, the company immediatel­y falls out of the World Government Bond Index (WGBI) which measures the performanc­e of fixed-rate, local currency, investment-grade sovereign bonds.

Much like when a Sequoia faces raging fires, the mettle of a chairperso­n and its group is tested when the company faces financial difficulti­es from the shareholde­rs.

However, even when faced with economic challenges, a company can grow and flourish provided that action is taken.

So, in my opinion, it is only with a united movement of all your board of directors and the independen­t, but direct effective leadership of the chairperso­n, can this company survive.

To conclude: “Fires can destroy, but fires can also be a catalyst for the renewal” of hope for your company Mr Chairman.

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